Influence Factors for Innovation in Digital Self-Preparedness Services and Tools

Abstract

IT support for crisis and continuity management covers all stages from prevention through preparedness to response and recovery. The application of innovative technologies often implies the need for structural and procedural changes for users and reliable assessment of future business opportunities for service and tool providers. Scenario-technique is a methodology to systematically assess possible future developments to derive conclusions for strategic planning. This methodology is adapted to the domain of self-preparedness and self-protection. This article contributes domain-specific influence factors which are identified by literature research and reflecting interview with all stakeholder groups. For each influence factor, projections are derived using different types of trend analysis and forecasting methods. Influence factors and projections build a knowledge-base which enables generation of scenarios as a fundament for strategic decisions to support crisis and continuity management.

Improving Scenario-Technique by a Semi-Automatized Consistency Assessment Based on Pattern Recognition by Artificial Neural Networks

“…As outlined in section 2.3, the consistency accelerator can be improved by grouped consistency values. Semi-automatized consistency assessments yield the potential to significantly reduce the effort for consistency assessment (Dönitz, 2009;Gräßler et al, 2018) and hereby to even increase agility in the agile process model of scenario-technique. Grouping of consistency values can improve the performance of the semi-automatized consistency assessment (Dönitz, 2009).…”

“…(Pottebaum and Grässler, 2016)) a collection of influence factors, their interrelations, projections and consistency values has been developed. The ISDM can be tailored to various domains such as innovative service for self-protection in extreme weather (Gräßler et al, 2018) or requirements engineering (Gräßler et al, 2017b). To reduce the heuristic selection of key influence factors from the set of influence factors, novel approaches such as a modified page-rank algorithm have been developed (Gräßler et al, 2019).…”

Innovation management and strategic planning of innovative self-preparedness and self-protection services

“…For the application in the ANYWHERE project, a generic catalogue of influence factors and other data was elaborated. The ANYWHERE-tailored ISDM contains 59 influence factors describing various aspects influencing future markets for innovative self-preparedness and self-protection tools (Gräßler et al, 2018). Aspects included were societal, market, technological and economic influence factors as well as aspects of PPDR (Gräßler et al, 2018).…”

“…The ANYWHERE-tailored ISDM contains 59 influence factors describing various aspects influencing future markets for innovative self-preparedness and self-protection tools (Gräßler et al, 2018). Aspects included were societal, market, technological and economic influence factors as well as aspects of PPDR (Gräßler et al, 2018). An exemplary influence factor is shown in table 1.…”

“…Description and projections for the influence factor B1 "Potential threat by extreme weather events"(Gräßler et al, 2018) …”