2017
DOI: 10.1101/122788
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Inflated false negative rates undermine reproducibility in task-based fMRI

Abstract: Reproducibility is generally regarded as a hallmark of scientific validity. It can be undermined by two very different factors, namely inflated false positive rates or inflated false negative rates. Here we investigate the role of the second factor, i.e. the degree to which true effects are not detected reliably. The availability of large public databases and also supercomputing allows us to tackle this problem quantitatively. Specifically, we estimated the reproducibility in task-based fMRI data over differen… Show more

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Cited by 14 publications
(14 citation statements)
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References 38 publications
(60 reference statements)
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“…Beyond providing an accurate qualitative description of response times, this account is also concordant with the general view that actions are organized in a hierarchical manner (Cooper and Shallice, 2006;Fuster, 2008) and with contemporary models suggesting a hierarchical neural organization of control processes in prefrontal cortex (Koechlin and Summerfield, 2007;Badre, 2008). However, experiments supporting the latter models have not examined the interaction between task-and responseswitching processes (Koechlin, et al, 2003;Badre and D'Esposito, 2007). Moreover, the hierarchical task-switching model has remained untested beyond its original remit of accounting for firstoder task-and response-transition effects; no novel predictions have been derived to test the model's general validity.…”
Section: Introductionsupporting
confidence: 74%
“…Beyond providing an accurate qualitative description of response times, this account is also concordant with the general view that actions are organized in a hierarchical manner (Cooper and Shallice, 2006;Fuster, 2008) and with contemporary models suggesting a hierarchical neural organization of control processes in prefrontal cortex (Koechlin and Summerfield, 2007;Badre, 2008). However, experiments supporting the latter models have not examined the interaction between task-and responseswitching processes (Koechlin, et al, 2003;Badre and D'Esposito, 2007). Moreover, the hierarchical task-switching model has remained untested beyond its original remit of accounting for firstoder task-and response-transition effects; no novel predictions have been derived to test the model's general validity.…”
Section: Introductionsupporting
confidence: 74%
“…Finally, it is worth noting that the appropriate parameters for the analysis of neuroimaging data is a topic of active, ongoing discussion. For example, although Eklund, Nichols, & Knutsson (2016) advocate more stringent cluster-forming thresholds for functional data, their results were not subsequently replicated (Cox, Chen, Glen, Reynolds, & Taylor, 2017a, 2017b), and may not account for elevated Type II error (Lohmann et al, 2017). The implications of this debate for the analysis of structural MRI data have not been tested.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…They conclude that the average fMRI study is poorly powered for capturing realistic e↵ects. In Lohmann et al (2017) the data was used to investigate the false negative rates in studies with small sample sizes. Similar to our approach, they used a larger cohort of subjects (N = 400) to approximate the true positive e↵ects.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…For example, Poldrack et al (2017) used the data to obtain e↵ectsize estimates for a number of common neuroimaging experimental paradigms in certain regions of interest. More recently, Lohmann et al (2017) used it to investigate the false negative rates in studies with small sample sizes. Similar in spirit to our approach, they used a large cohort of 400 subjects to approximate the true positive e↵ects.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%