Inferring country-specific import risk of diseases from the world air transportation network
Pascal P. Klamser,
Adrian Zachariae,
Benjamin F. Maier
et al.
Abstract:Disease propagation between countries strongly depends on their effective distance, a measure derived from the world air transportation network (WAN). It reduces the complex spreading patterns of a pandemic to a wave-like propagation from the outbreak country, establishing a linear relationship to the arrival time of the unmitigated spread of a disease. However, in the early stages of an outbreak, what concerns decision-makers in countries is understanding the relative risk of active cases arriving in their co… Show more
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