Parasites have long been thought to influence the evolution of migration, but precisely determining the conditions under which this occurs by quantifying costs of infection remains a challenge. Here we developed a model that demonstrates how the metric used to describe infection (richness/diversity, prevalence or intensity) shapes the prediction of whether migration will evolve. The model shows that predictions based on minimizing richness yield opposite results compared to those based on minimizing prevalence, with migration only selected for when minimizing prevalence. Consistent with these findings, empirical studies that measure parasite diversity typically find that migrants are worse off than residents, while those measuring prevalence or intensity find the opposite. Our own empirical analysis of fish parasite data finds that migrants (of all types) have higher parasite richness than residents, but with no significant difference in either prevalence or intensity.
BackgroundMigration is a ubiquitous behaviour that spans a large range of temporal and spatial scales [1]. Although stereotypical images of migration often feature birds moving to the equator for the winter and ungulates travelling across African savannahs, migratory behaviour is a much broader phenomenon. Amphibians have small-scale migrations between aquatic and terrestrial habitats [2], as do many land crabs [3]; moths migrate altitudinally to escape seasonally hot conditions [4]; plankton migrate daily up and down in the water column [5]; and some sea lions migrate to breed every 17-18 months [6]. The uniqueness of migration comes from the predictable and directional nature of the movement. However, movement of all forms can be inherently costly in terms of depleting energy, reducing survival and increasing exposure to novel and uncertain conditions [7].Why, then, do organisms migrate? Three broad sets of factors are thought to shape migration [8]. First, some species migrate between breeding/spawning grounds and areas that are better suited to adult survival or resource accumulation. Second, some species are constantly on the move tracking changing resource patterns. Third, some species spend part of the year in one area that is well suited for breeding and foraging, but migrate away to seek refuge (from cold, dry or stormy weather) during part of the year. Both early and modern conceptions of migration as a refuge behaviour focus on climate as a driving factor [8,9]. However, these seasonal movements may also be driven by predators [10,11], parasitoids [12], or parasites and pathogens [13].The role of parasites in determining host ecology and behaviour is becoming increasingly recognized [14,15]. Parasites (which here we define broadly to include both macroparasites and microparasites, as per [16]) in particular can shape migration patterns in several distinct ways. By migrating, individuals can escape parasites that are restricted to certain habitats [17,18], or move to