“…A rise in poverty levels re ects the fall in people's income that either pushes them into an impoverishment situation, or into a poverty trap (e.g., Barrett and Carter, 2013;Barrett et al 2016;Dutta and Kumar, 2016;Naschold, 2013). Thus, the lack of resources to satisfy the minimum basic necessities of life (i.e., poverty) results in lower consumption growth (e.g., Blocker et al, 2013;Chakravarti, 2006;Ravallion, 2012), and particularly, in lower investment in human capital, including education and health (e.g., Azariadis and Stachurski, 2005;Bain et al 2013;Hanson et al 2013;Haushofer and Fehr, 2014;Hill and Sandfort, 1995;López, 2006;Mullainathan and Sha r, 2013;Sachs, 2005), and a less productive workforce (e.g., Breunig and Majeed, 2020;Hill and Sandfort, 1995). Therefore, we rst postulate that the effect of poverty on the real exchange rate (i.e., the relative price of the non-tradables to tradables) would depend on how its effect on consumption would in uence the demand for tradables relatively to non-tradables.…”