Abstract. Anthropogenic aerosols impact cirrus clouds through ice nucleation, thereby
changing the Earth's radiation budget. However, the magnitude and sign of
anthropogenic forcing in cirrus clouds is still very uncertain depending on
the treatments for ice-nucleating particles (INPs), the treatments for haze particle
freezing, and the ice nucleation scheme. In this study, a new ice nucleation
scheme (hereafter the HYBRID scheme) is developed to combine the best
features of two previous ice nucleation schemes, so that global models are
able to calculate the ice number concentration in both updrafts and
downdrafts associated with gravity waves, and it has a robust sensitivity to the
change of aerosol number. The scheme is applied in a box model, and the ice
number concentrations (9.52±2.08 L−1) are somewhat overestimated
but are in reasonable agreement with those from an adiabatic parcel model
(9.40±2.31 L−1). Then, the forcing and cloud changes associated
with changes in aircraft soot, sulfur emission, and all anthropogenic
emissions between the preindustrial (PI) period and the present day (PD) are
examined using the CESM/IMPACT global model with the HYBRID scheme. Aircraft
soot emissions decrease the global average ice number concentration (Ni) by
-1.0±2.4×107 m−2 (−1 %) (over the entire
column) due to the inhibition of homogeneous nucleation and lead to a
radiative forcing of -0.14±0.07 W m−2, while the increase in
sulfur emissions increases the global average Ni by 7.3±2.9×107 m−2 (5 %) due to the increase in homogeneous nucleation and
leads to a radiative forcing of -0.02±0.06 W m−2. The possible
effects of aerosol and cloud feedbacks to the meteorological state in remote
regions partly contribute to reduce the forcing and the change in Ni due to
anthropogenic emissions. The radiative forcing due to all increased
anthropogenic emissions from PI to PD is estimated to be -0.20±0.05 W m−2. If newly formed secondary organic aerosols (SOAs) act as INPs and
inhibit homogeneous nucleation, the Ni formed from heterogeneous nucleation
is increased. As a result, the inclusion of INPs from SOA increases the
change in Ni to 12.0±2.3×107 m−2 (9 %) and
increases (makes less negative) the anthropogenic forcing on cirrus clouds
to -0.04±0.08 W m−2 from PI to PD.