2001
DOI: 10.1038/35079180
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Increasing shrub abundance in the Arctic

Abstract: The warming of the Alaskan Arctic during the past 150 years has accelerated over the last three decades and is expected to increase vegetation productivity in tundra if shrubs become more abundant; indeed, this transition may already be under way according to local plot studies and remote sensing. Here we present evidence for a widespread increase in shrub abundance over more than 320 km of Arctic landscape during the past 50 years, based on a comparison of historic and modern aerial photographs. This expansio… Show more

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Cited by 1,197 publications
(1,035 citation statements)
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References 12 publications
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“…There were significant transitions in the cover of vegetation types; the cover of ''Meadow with low herbs M(lh)'' and ''Birch forest of heath type with mosses BFo(m)'' increased significantly, while the cover of ''Moderate snowbed vegetation SB(mod)'' decreased significantly. Our study concurs with the results of other studies which suggest that there has been a general increase in cover and biomass of trees and shrubs in sub-Arctic and Arctic areas (e.g., Sturm et al 2001;Tape et al 2006;Danby and Hik 2007;Tømmervik et al 2009;Forbes et al 2010;Hallinger et al 2010;Van Bogaert et al 2011;Rundqvist et al 2011, this issue). Tree biomass increased on average 1.5% per year from 3.5 t ha -1 in 1997 to 4.2 t ha -1 in 2010.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 93%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…There were significant transitions in the cover of vegetation types; the cover of ''Meadow with low herbs M(lh)'' and ''Birch forest of heath type with mosses BFo(m)'' increased significantly, while the cover of ''Moderate snowbed vegetation SB(mod)'' decreased significantly. Our study concurs with the results of other studies which suggest that there has been a general increase in cover and biomass of trees and shrubs in sub-Arctic and Arctic areas (e.g., Sturm et al 2001;Tape et al 2006;Danby and Hik 2007;Tømmervik et al 2009;Forbes et al 2010;Hallinger et al 2010;Van Bogaert et al 2011;Rundqvist et al 2011, this issue). Tree biomass increased on average 1.5% per year from 3.5 t ha -1 in 1997 to 4.2 t ha -1 in 2010.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 93%
“…However, it could also be suspected that heaths dominated by dwarf shrubs may be converted to heaths dominated by graminoids or larger shrubs, as experiments suggest that shrubs and graminoids may increase following warming (e.g., Walker et al 2006). Indeed, comparison of old and new photographs has revealed an expansion of large shrubs throughout the Arctic (Sturm et al 2001;Tape et al 2006;Forbes et al 2010).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In Canada, an increase in the density of black spruce (Picea mariana) has occurred at the Arctic treeline [42]. In Alaska, an increase in the density and latitudinal position of shrubs and trees such as green alder (Alnus crispa) and white spruce (Picea glauca) has been reported from Arctic treelines [43,44], leading to an estimated expansion of forest across $11 600 km 2 of tundra over the past 50 years [45]. However, despite the theoretical predictions outlined above, reports of latitudinal range retractions remain rare.…”
Section: Glossarymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Elevational and latitudinal vegetation patterns are largely determined by temperature and moisture gradients (Pielou 1994, Arris andEagleson 1989), factors which in turn define the length and intensity of the growing season. In general, the duration and intensity of the growing season decreases with both elevation and latitude (Billings 1973, Krebs 1985, promoting the growth of prostrate shrubs at the expense of trees (Sturm et al 2001). …”
Section: Elevational Gradients and Patterns Of Habitat Usementioning
confidence: 99%