Land-cover
change from energy development, including solar energy,
presents trade-offs for land used for the production of food and the
conservation of ecosystems. Solar energy plays a critical role in
contributing to the alternative energy mix to mitigate climate change
and meet policy milestones; however, the extent that solar energy
development on nonconventional surfaces can mitigate land scarcity
is understudied. Here, we evaluate the land sparing potential of solar
energy development across four nonconventional land-cover types: the
built environment, salt-affected land, contaminated land, and water
reservoirs (as floatovoltaics), within the Great Central Valley (CV,
CA), a globally significant agricultural region where land for food
production, urban development, and conservation collide. Furthermore,
we calculate the technical potential (TWh year–1) of these land sparing sites and test the degree to which projected
electricity needs for the state of California can be met therein.
In total, the CV encompasses 15% of CA, 8415 km2 of which
was identified as potentially land-sparing for solar energy development.
These areas comprise a capacity-based energy potential of at least
17 348 TWh year–1 for photovoltaic (PV) and
2213 TWh year–1 for concentrating solar power (CSP).
Accounting for technology efficiencies, this exceeds California’s
2025 projected electricity demands up to 13 and 2 times for PV and
CSP, respectively. Our study underscores the potential of strategic
renewable energy siting to mitigate environmental trade-offs typically
coupled with energy sprawl in agricultural landscapes.