Incorporating online shopping into travel demand modelling: challenges, progress, and opportunities

Süel, Esra; Polak, John

doi:10.1080/01441647.2017.1381864

Cited by 53 publications

(22 citation statements)

References 155 publications

(214 reference statements)

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…Theoretical studies examining the impacts on residential location and urban development [27,47] indicate that telework may also contribute to increased urban decentralization, and even generate more transport. Since then, the research on the interactions between transport and telecommunication technologies has become an established domain by itself, and a good overview of it can be seen at Liu et al [26], Shen et al [44], Shi et al [45], Smidfelt Rosqvist & Winslott Hiselius [46], Suel & Polak [48].…”

Section: Telecommuting and Online Shopping As Digital Alternatives Fomentioning

confidence: 99%

The trade-off behaviours between virtual and physical activities during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic period

Bin

Andruetto

Susilo

et al. 2021

Eur. Transp. Res. Rev.

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Introduction The first wave of COVID-19 pandemic period has drastically changed people’s lives all over the world. To cope with the disruption, digital solutions have become more popular. However, the ability to adopt digitalised alternatives is different across socio-economic and socio-demographic groups. Objective This study investigates how individuals have changed their activity-travel patterns and internet usage during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemicperiod, and which of these changes may be kept. Methods An empirical data collection was deployed through online forms. 781 responses from different countries (Italy, Sweden, India and others) have beencollected, and a series of multivariate analyses was carried out. Two linear regression models are presented, related to the change of travel activities andinternet usage, before and during the pandemic period. Furthermore, a binary regression model is used to examine the likelihood of the respondents to adoptand keep their behaviours beyond the pandemic period. Results The results show that the possibility to change the behaviour matter. External restrictions and personal characteristics are the driving factors of the reductionin ones' daily trips. However, the estimation results do not show a strong correlation between the countries' restriction policy and the respondents' likelihoodto adopt the new and online-based behaviours for any of the activities after the restriction period. Conclusion The acceptance and long-term adoption of the online alternatives for activities are correlated with the respondents' personality and socio-demographicgroup, highlighting the importance of promoting alternatives as a part of longer-term behavioural and lifestyle changes.

show abstract

Section: Telecommuting and Online Shopping As Digital Alternatives Fomentioning

confidence: 99%

The trade-off behaviours between virtual and physical activities during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic period

Bin

Andruetto

Susilo

et al. 2021

Eur. Transp. Res. Rev.

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…It may be, then, that widespread diffusion is hindered by occupational barriers, rather than anything related to travel (Mokhtarian & Salomon, 1997;Bailey & Kurland, 2002;Felstead, 2012). 32 The overall benefits of e-shopping for reducing personal transport use are similarly complex to determine (Andreev, Salomon & Pliskin, 2010;Suel & Polak, 2018), with imperfect review evidence for only marginal reductions in personal travel (Rotem-Mindali & Weltevreden, 2013;Weltevreden & Rotem-Mindali, 2009;Cairns, 2005) and relatively little insight on psychological factors involved (Jayawardhena, 2004). There is some evidence for the importance of individual differences in the decision to shop out-of-town, locally or online: a…”

Section: Mobility Substitutionmentioning

confidence: 99%

User decision-making in transitions to electrified, autonomous, shared or reduced mobility

Whittle

Whitmarsh

Haggar

et al. 2019

Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Mobility affords a range of benefits, but there are environmental, social and economic problems associated with current transport systems. Innovations to address these issues include novel technologies (e.g., electric and autonomous vehicles; EVs, AVs), and new business models and social practices (e.g., shared mobility). Yet, far more attention by policy-makers and researchers has been paid to the technical aspects of a low-carbon mobility transition than to social or psychological aspects, or the role of the user. In this paper, we integrate insights from the multi-level perspective on transitions and socio-psychological literature and draw on transport expert interview (N=11) data, to examine (a) what influences current attitudes and behaviours in respect of EVs and AVs, and shared mobility, and (b) how this may change in the years to come. We argue that technological change may be most compatible with the transport regime (dominated by personal car-based mobility) but potentially affords a narrower range of sustainability benefits, while mobility substitution (e.g., reducing the need to travel through tele-working or -shopping) may be most challenging for both policy-makers and publics, while potentially addressing a wider range of sustainability problems associated with the transport regime. Shared mobility options sit somewhere in between and challenge certain aspects of the regime (e.g., status associated with car ownership) while offering certain environmental, social and economic benefits. For all three areas of innovation, policy interventions need to address the needs, preferences, experiences and identities of users if they are to be effective and sustainable.2 KeywordsLow-carbon mobility, transition, multi-level perspective, psychology, decision-making Highlights-We provide a psychologically-informed discussion of the transition to low-carbon mobility.-Our analysis highlights nuances in the interaction between individuals and infrastructures, and how 'lock-in' is experienced in different ways.-Users fulfil important social as well as economic functions in innovation processes.-Social and psychological factors (identity, emotions, etc.), as well as physical environment and infrastructures, constrain and foster innovation. AcknowledgementsThe review on which this article is based was funded by the UK Government Office of Science's Foresight Future of Mobility Programme. We gratefully acknowledge the time provided by interviewees to participate in the research, as well as the helpful comments of reviewers in improving the manuscript.3

show abstract

“…Increased internet shopping (Çelik 2011;Morganti et al 2014;Suel and Polak 2017) and restrictions on heavy goods vehicles, particularly in town centres, increase the use of vans, which somewhat offsets the positive effects of decongestion from fewer cars on the road. There is increased relative decoupling of road freight from economic activity due to a return to more localised sourcing (McKinnon 2007), a major shift in the pattern of consumption to services and products of higher value, the digitization of media and entertainment, and an extensive application of new transport-reducing manufacturing technologies such as 3-D printing (Birtchnell et al 2013).…”

Section: Reference Pathway (Ref)-key Data and Assumptionsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Lifestyle, efficiency and limits: modelling transport energy and emissions using a socio-technical approach

2018

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

It is well-known that societal energy consumption and pollutant emissions from transport are influenced not only by technical efficiency, mode choice and the carbon/pollutant content of energy but also by lifestyle choices and socio-cultural factors. However, only a few attempts have been made to integrate all of these insights into systems models of future transport energy demand or even scenario analysis. This paper addresses this gap in research and practice by presenting the development and use of quantitative scenarios using an integrated transport-energy-environment systems model to explore four contrasting futures for Scotland that compare transport-related 'lifestyle' changes and socio-cultural factors against a transition pathway focussing on transport electrification and the phasing out of conventionally fuelled vehicles using a socio-technical approach. We found that radical demand and supply strategies can have important synergies and trade-offs between reducing life cycle greenhouse gas and air quality emissions. Lifestyle change alone can have a comparable and earlier effect on transport carbon and air quality emissions than a transition to EVs with no lifestyle change. Yet, the detailed modelling of four contrasting futures suggests that both strategies have limits to meeting legislated carbon budgets, which may only be achieved with a combined strategy of radical change in travel patterns, mode and vehicle choice, vehicle occupancy and on-road driving behaviour with high electrification and phasing out of conventional petrol and diesel road vehicles. The newfound urgency of 'cleaning up our act' since the Paris Agreement and Dieselgate scandal suggests that we cannot just wait for the 'technology fix'.

show abstract

Incorporating online shopping into travel demand modelling: challenges, progress, and opportunities

Cited by 53 publications

References 155 publications

The trade-off behaviours between virtual and physical activities during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic period

The trade-off behaviours between virtual and physical activities during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic period

User decision-making in transitions to electrified, autonomous, shared or reduced mobility

Lifestyle, efficiency and limits: modelling transport energy and emissions using a socio-technical approach

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About