Income tax and elections in Britain, 1950–2001

Johnson, Paul; Lynch, Frances M. B.; Walker, John Geoffrey

doi:10.1016/j.electstud.2004.10.008

Cited by 16 publications

(6 citation statements)

References 10 publications

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“…22Direct taxes include income tax and national insurance. Estimates to 2005 were produced by Frances Lynch at the University of Westminster (Johnson et al 2005). This has been updated to 2013 by the authors.…”

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confidence: 99%

Policy accommodation versus electoral turnover: policy representation in Britain, 1945–2015

Bartle

Avellaneda²,

McGann³

2018

J. Pub. Pol.

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Does public policy in the United Kingdom respond to changes in public preferences? If so, is this the result of the government changing its policy to reflect preferences (“policy accommodation”) or the result of governments that pursue unpopular policies being replaced at elections by governments more in line with the public (“electoral turnover”)? We explore these questions by estimating annual aggregate public preferences (“the policy mood”) using responses to 287 questions administered 2,087 times and annual policy using budgetary data (“nonmilitary government expenditure”) for the whole of the postwar period. We find that mood moves in the opposite direction to policy and variations in mood are associated with variations in annual vote intentions. Policy is responsive to party control but not directly responsive to mood. Shifts in mood eventually lead to a change in government and thus policy, but this process may be very slow if the public has doubts about the competence of the opposition.

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confidence: 99%

Policy accommodation versus electoral turnover: policy representation in Britain, 1945–2015

Bartle

Avellaneda²,

McGann³

2018

J. Pub. Pol.

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“…What is still clear in this low-tax age is that citizens want service for themselves and their families without paying too much for them. This is supported by Johnson, et. al.…”

Section: Electoral Resistance To Taxationsupporting

confidence: 68%

The Electoral Temptations of Natural Resource Revenues: Towards a Theory on the Origins of Sovereign Wealth Funds in Canada

Bellingham¹

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“…In particular, I note Verley’s observation that recent work by economists and political scientists reveals an increasing interest in economic history that offers the basis of fruitful cooperation. As an example of what can be achieved with a constructive engagement between economic history and political science, one might cite new time‐series data on income tax constructed by Johnson et al . and their illuminating demonstration that there is no relationship between changes in the basic rate of income tax and election results. They do find, however, a clear link between the overall ‘tax burden’ and electoral outcomes, and thus conclude that political scientists have too readily dismissed politicians’ perception that electoral behaviour is influenced by changes in income tax.…”

Section: (Vi) Since 1945  Hugh Pemberton  University Of Bristolmentioning

confidence: 99%