2020
DOI: 10.1111/sjoe.12398
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Income Shocks, Inequality, and Democracy*

Abstract: In this paper, motivated by contradictory evidence on the effect of income on democracy, we investigate the hypothesis that it is income shocks – major income fluctuations relative to the trend – rather than marginal year‐on‐year variation in income levels that lead to non‐trivial changes in the quality of political institutions. Empirical results provide support for this hypothesis, and show how income inequality plays a crucial role in the effects of economic shocks on democracy. In particular, negative inco… Show more

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Cited by 15 publications
(10 citation statements)
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“…Perhaps one of the most influential versions of this classic argument is Acemoglu and Robinson's (2001) theory, in which negative shocks reduce opportunity costs of revolt, and hence induce autocrats to make economic concessions to prevent revolution. There is empirical evidence that droughts or floods, for example, can operate as potential democratizing devices (Aidt and Leon, 2016;Brückner and Ciccone, 2011), and they may be more important than slow-moving economic transformations, although their effect is probably highly conditional to preexisting characteristics, such as the level of inequality (Kotschy and Sunde, 2019).…”
Section: Theory: Pandemics and Democratic Preferencesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Perhaps one of the most influential versions of this classic argument is Acemoglu and Robinson's (2001) theory, in which negative shocks reduce opportunity costs of revolt, and hence induce autocrats to make economic concessions to prevent revolution. There is empirical evidence that droughts or floods, for example, can operate as potential democratizing devices (Aidt and Leon, 2016;Brückner and Ciccone, 2011), and they may be more important than slow-moving economic transformations, although their effect is probably highly conditional to preexisting characteristics, such as the level of inequality (Kotschy and Sunde, 2019).…”
Section: Theory: Pandemics and Democratic Preferencesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…If it is the case and this finding holds on the country level, then wealthier countries should exhibit more patience which is in fact the case as demonstrated by Sunde et al (2021). Relatedly, Kotschy and Sunde (2021) show that income shocks are conducive to changes in political institutions and hence affect the political regime, though the effect depends also on the level of inequality. As mentioned earlier, Acemoglu et al (2019) find that democracy causes economic development, so one may draw the conclusion that democracy implies patience through rising income.…”
Section: Literature Review and Hypothesismentioning
confidence: 82%
“…Sub-goal 2) Participation, focuses on autonomy and agency -in the economy and at work. Measures of the overall quality of democracy are useful since democratic quality is related to income inequality (Kotschy and Sunde 2021). However, we suggest that measures of democracy should go beyond representative democracy to economic democracy.…”
Section: Sustainable Work and Economic Degrowth-a New Set Of Indicators For Sdgmentioning
confidence: 96%