Incidence of low-level viremia and its impact on virologic failure among people living with HIV who started an integrase strand transfer inhibitors: a longitudinal cohort study

Abstract

Background Low-level viremia (LLV) has been identified as a potential precursor to virologic failure (VF), yet its clinical implications, particularly within the context of Integrase Strand Transfer Inhibitors (INSTIs)-based regimens, remain insufficiently explored. The study aimed to investigate the relationship between LLV and VF within ART-naïve patients on INSTIs-based regimens in China. Methods A longitudinal cohort study was conducted with ART-naïve patients aged ≥ 18 years at Beijing Ditan Hospital, under the Chinese National Free Antiretroviral Treatment Program (NFATP). The LLV was defined as a viral load (VL) ranging from 50 to 199 copies/mL after six months of ART initiation, and VF as a VL ≥ 200 copies/mL. Sensitive analyses were also performed, defining LLV as 50–999 copies/mL and VF as exceeding 1000 copies/mL. Multivariate logistic regression, Kaplan-Meier (KM) curve, and Generalized Estimating Equation (GEE) models were used to evaluate the risk factors associated with LLV and VF events. Results The study involved 830 ART-naïve patients, comprising 600 in the INSTIs group and 230 in the protease inhibitors (PIs) group. LLV events were observed in 10.4% of patients on PIs-based regimens and and 3.2% on INSTIs-based regimens (P < 0.001). INSTIs-based regimens demonstrated a protective effect against LLV events (aHR = 0.27, 95% CI 0.137–0.532). VF events occurred in 10.9% of patients on PIs-based regimens and 2.0% on INSTIs-based regimens, respectively (P < 0.001). The occurrence of LLV events significantly increased the risk of VF by 123.5% (95% CI 7.5%-364.4%), while the integrase inhibitors were associated with a 76.9% (95% CI 59.1%-86.9%) reduction in VF risk. Conclusion Our findings indicate that INSTIs-based regimens are critical protective factors against LLV and subsequent VF. These results underscore the importance of HIV viral load monitoring to ensuring effective treatment outcomes, highlighting the necessity for prompt and precise monitoring to refine HIV treatment methodologies.