Incidence and trends of pancreatic cancer (PC) in Girona: A population-based study from the Girona Cancer Registry (1994-2015).

Abstract

225 Background: PC is the third leading-cause of cancer death in Spain. In this study we aim to investigate PC’s incidence and trends during 1994-2015 in Girona. Methods: Data were extracted from the population-based Girona Cancer Registry. Incident PC cases were classified using the ICD-O-3 Third Edition. Age-adjusted incidence rates (ASRE) to the European standard population and world standard population (ASRW) were obtained. Trends were assessed using the estimated annual percentage of change (EAPC) of the ASRE13. Results: We identified 1590 PC incident cases, 45.8% females and 54.2%. Patients > 64 years old represented a 72.6% of cases. According to histology, epithelial tumors stand for a 44% of cases and neuroendocrine neoplasms represented only the 3% of all cases, being most of PC tumors’ histology non-specified. Cases detected only by death certificates (DCO) were 7.7% in males and 7.4% in females. For the whole study population, crude rate (CR) cancer incidence was 11.26 cases per 100,000 inhabitants/year (12.17 men; 10.34 women). Regarding the ASR, results show an ASRE13 of 12.99 (95% CI 12.36;13.65) and ASRW of 5.58 (95% CI 5.8;13.655.91). Age-specific rates reflected a drastic increase with age, having the population over 85 years the highest rate (74.5 cases per 100,000 inhabitants/year). We also found a significant increase in incidence of PC cases over the study period, with an EAPC of 1.41% per year, present in both men (EAPC = 1.30%) and women (EAPC = 1.37%). Conclusions: Incidence rates of PC in Girona are within the European average, and likewise they have been increasing for the last two decades. There is an increase of incidence in the elderly population reflected in age-specific rates, reason whereby we believe there are a high proportion of unspecific histologies. These results can be used as baseline for further research.