2016
DOI: 10.1177/0739456x16657160
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Improving Adaptation Planning for Future Sea-Level Rise

Abstract: Sea-level rise (SLR) presents risks to communities and ecosystems because of hazards like coastal erosion. In order to adapt, planners and the public seek estimates of shoreline change with high confidence and accuracy. The complexity of shorelines produces considerable uncertainty in the timing, location and magnitude of change. We present and discuss a probabilistic shoreline model for SLR planning. Using the coast of Maui as an illustrative case, we compare this model to a common deterministic model. We dis… Show more

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Cited by 13 publications
(1 citation statement)
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“…Climate change alters extreme weather phenomena, potentially leading to unprecedented extremes [5]. Additionally, sea-level rise could result in the loss of thousands of km 2 of coastal land globally during the 21st century, forcing millions of people to migrate [6,7]. The narrowing of beaches due to "coastal squeeze" reduces beaches' adaptability to dynamic changes and extreme events [8].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Climate change alters extreme weather phenomena, potentially leading to unprecedented extremes [5]. Additionally, sea-level rise could result in the loss of thousands of km 2 of coastal land globally during the 21st century, forcing millions of people to migrate [6,7]. The narrowing of beaches due to "coastal squeeze" reduces beaches' adaptability to dynamic changes and extreme events [8].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%