“…Both the reanalysis datasets and CMIP6 models show low consensus on
and −
due to their relatively large inter‐model spread. However, the spread of their sum (
) is considerably smaller than that of
and −
(Table S5 in Supporting Information ), as models may have compensating biases when simulating the various components of the surface energy budget (Boeke & Taylor,
2016; Liu et al.,
2021) and this manifests in their contribution to surface temperature change. For the reanalysis datasets and CMIP6 models overestimating the contribution of SAF to surface warming, the opposite contribution from the turbulent heat fluxes tends to be overestimated as well.…”