Implementasi Analisis Fuzzy Time Series Dalam Melihat Hasil Komoditas Perikanan Di Provinsi Aceh

Abstract

Fisheries is one of the sources of food security in Indonesia which plays an important role in the rich biodiversity of Indonesian coastal waters. This research uses the Chen Fuzzy Time Series Model forecasting method. The samples used in this study are data on the number of fishery commodity products with specific Tilapia and Catfish monthly Aceh Province as much as 24 data, starting from January 2021 to December 2022. The results of forecasting the number of tilapia in January 2023 were 1,320,815, with a MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error) value of 12.93%. And the result of forecasting the number of catfish in January 2023 was 2,339,568, with a MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error) value of 22.9%. This shows that forecasting using the Chen model Fuzzy Time Series method is good enough to forecast the number of tilapia and catfish in Aceh Province.