Impacts of the Western Pacific and Indian Ocean Warm Pools on Wildfires in Yunnan, Southwest China: Spatial Patterns With Interannual and Intraannual Variations
Abstract:The Indo‐Pacific warm pool affects the regional climatic conditions in Southeast Asia mediated by the Western Pacific (WP) and Indian Ocean (IO) monsoons, which are recognized as critical regulators of wildfires in this region. Our study explored the spatiotemporal effects of the warm pools on wildfire records in Yunnan, Southwest China. We showed the interannual records had a negative relationship with the simultaneous WP warm pool area index. The Ailao Mountains in the central Yunnan could be a geographical … Show more
“…As a result, the extreme drought in Yunnan is a footprint over Southeast Asia. It has been suggested that anthropogenic warming has increased the extreme hot and dry conditions and drought risks over Southwest China (Ma et al 2017, 2021, Luo et al 2022 and even over mainland southeast Asia (Thirumalai et al 2017, Zhang et al 2021). Thus, the extreme winter-spring 2023 drought in Yunnan would have been 'virtually impossible' without human-caused climate change, as suggested by the World Weather Attribution (WWA) to the April heat wave in Southeast Asia (Zachariah et al 2023).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Yunnan Province in Southwest China is a droughtprone and mountain region, locates in the southeastern margin of the Tibetan Plateau and border with Thailand, Myanmar, Laos and Vietnam. Under recent global warming, Yunnan has witnessed more frequent, severe and longer persistent droughts (Lü et al 2012, Ma et al 2017, 2021, Luo et al 2022, Wang et al 2022. The frequent droughts largely affected the local energy and water supplies, reduced grain production and caused wildfires as well.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In addition, the negative-phase North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) (Song et al 2011, Huang et al 2012, Yang et al 2012, Feng et al 2014, the warm SST anomalies over the tropical western Indian Ocean (Wang et al 2022), and the warm SST anomalies in Indian-Pacific warm pool (Huang et al 2012, Ma et al 2017, Ying et al 2022 also contributed to the extraordinarily severe drought in Yunnan. It is found the linkage between the NAO (or SST over tropical Indian and western Pacific) and drought in Yunnan is strongly modulated by the ENSO (Song et al 2011, Ma et al 2021, Wang et al 2022).…”
During January-May 2023, an extreme prolonged drought dominates Southwest China, which caused a severely damage of local water availability, power supply and productivity in Yunnan Province. It is noted that the initiation and maintenance of this extreme drought was concurrent with phase transition from La Niña into El Niño. We demonstrate that this severe drought event was partly attributed to the relay influences of La Niña and El Niño evolution. The anomalous enhanced cyclone over the western North Pacific (WNP) associated with mature La Niña triggered anomalous downwards motion and reduced moisture supply to Southwest China, contributing to drought initiation. As the La Niña decay, the anomalous WNP cyclone gradually weakened in late winter and early spring. Moreover, the eastwards shifting of anomalous WNP cyclone intensified by the El Niño developing and maintained anomalous northerlies in this region. The preceding winter La Niña favored the prolonged MJO activities over the tropical western Pacific in late spring, which re-intensified anomalous WNP cyclone and aggravated drought in Yunnan. The local extreme droughts are a footprint over Southeast Asia, showing a few months predictability as a possible response to the transition from the phase of La Niña to El Niño. This is supported by the similar extreme droughts in history during phase transition from La Niña into El Niño.
“…As a result, the extreme drought in Yunnan is a footprint over Southeast Asia. It has been suggested that anthropogenic warming has increased the extreme hot and dry conditions and drought risks over Southwest China (Ma et al 2017, 2021, Luo et al 2022 and even over mainland southeast Asia (Thirumalai et al 2017, Zhang et al 2021). Thus, the extreme winter-spring 2023 drought in Yunnan would have been 'virtually impossible' without human-caused climate change, as suggested by the World Weather Attribution (WWA) to the April heat wave in Southeast Asia (Zachariah et al 2023).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Yunnan Province in Southwest China is a droughtprone and mountain region, locates in the southeastern margin of the Tibetan Plateau and border with Thailand, Myanmar, Laos and Vietnam. Under recent global warming, Yunnan has witnessed more frequent, severe and longer persistent droughts (Lü et al 2012, Ma et al 2017, 2021, Luo et al 2022, Wang et al 2022. The frequent droughts largely affected the local energy and water supplies, reduced grain production and caused wildfires as well.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In addition, the negative-phase North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) (Song et al 2011, Huang et al 2012, Yang et al 2012, Feng et al 2014, the warm SST anomalies over the tropical western Indian Ocean (Wang et al 2022), and the warm SST anomalies in Indian-Pacific warm pool (Huang et al 2012, Ma et al 2017, Ying et al 2022 also contributed to the extraordinarily severe drought in Yunnan. It is found the linkage between the NAO (or SST over tropical Indian and western Pacific) and drought in Yunnan is strongly modulated by the ENSO (Song et al 2011, Ma et al 2021, Wang et al 2022).…”
During January-May 2023, an extreme prolonged drought dominates Southwest China, which caused a severely damage of local water availability, power supply and productivity in Yunnan Province. It is noted that the initiation and maintenance of this extreme drought was concurrent with phase transition from La Niña into El Niño. We demonstrate that this severe drought event was partly attributed to the relay influences of La Niña and El Niño evolution. The anomalous enhanced cyclone over the western North Pacific (WNP) associated with mature La Niña triggered anomalous downwards motion and reduced moisture supply to Southwest China, contributing to drought initiation. As the La Niña decay, the anomalous WNP cyclone gradually weakened in late winter and early spring. Moreover, the eastwards shifting of anomalous WNP cyclone intensified by the El Niño developing and maintained anomalous northerlies in this region. The preceding winter La Niña favored the prolonged MJO activities over the tropical western Pacific in late spring, which re-intensified anomalous WNP cyclone and aggravated drought in Yunnan. The local extreme droughts are a footprint over Southeast Asia, showing a few months predictability as a possible response to the transition from the phase of La Niña to El Niño. This is supported by the similar extreme droughts in history during phase transition from La Niña into El Niño.
“…Finally, Ying et al. (2022) identified connections between wildfire occurrence in Yunnan, southwest China, and dynamics of the Western Pacific and Indian Ocean warm pools mediated by the regional monsoon climate.…”
Section: Paleofire and Ties To Climatementioning
confidence: 99%
“…From peatland cores in Borneo, Yamamoto et al (2021) inferred at least 12 major fires in the last 6,000 years and tied them to intervals of high solar activity thought to have been associated with drier climate. Finally, Ying et al (2022) identified connections between wildfire occurrence in Yunnan, southwest China, and dynamics of the Western Pacific and Indian Ocean warm pools mediated by the regional monsoon climate.…”
Fire has always been an important component of many ecosystems, but anthropogenic global climate change is now altering fire regimes over much of Earth's land surface, spurring a more urgent need to understand the physical, biological, and chemical processes associated with fire as well as its effects on human societies. In 2020, AGU launched a Special Collection that spanned 10 journals, soliciting papers under the theme “Fire in the Earth System” to encourage state‐of‐the‐art publications in fire‐related science. The completed Special Collection comprises more than 100 papers. Here, we summarize the articles published in this collection, considering them to be grouped into seven themes: paleofire and its ties to climate; evolution of fire patterns in the recent past and the future, including the effects of ongoing climate change; physical (atmospheric) and chemical processes associated with fire; ecosystem effects, including on biogeochemical cycles; physical landscape change after fire and its associated hazards; fire effects on water quality, air quality, and human health; and new methods and technologies applied to fire research.
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