Impacts of the Statewide COVID-19 Lockdown Interventions on Excess Mortality, Unemployment, and Employment Growth

Pugh, Trevor J.; Harris, Jeffrey P.; Jarnagin, Kyle; Thiese, Matthew S.; Hegmann, Kurt T.

doi:10.1097/jom.0000000000002597

Cited by 1 publication

(1 citation statement)

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“…Other work predicts that the COVID‐19 pandemic may lead to a significant increase in the number of “deaths of despair” due to economic stagnation and social isolation associated with the pandemic (Petterson et al., 2020). In one study, fixed effects models show state‐level SIP policies did not impact excess mortality in the U.S. (Pugh et al., 2022). Additional studies in the U.S. have examined the impact of SIP policies on the number of COVID‐19 outcomes including cases, hopsitalizations and deaths (Berry et al., 2021; Courtemanche et al., 2020; Dave, McNichols, & Sabia, 2021, 2022; Lyu & Wehby, 2020).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The impact of COVID‐19 shelter‐in‐place policy responses on excess mortality

et al. 2023

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As a way of slowing COVID‐19 transmission, many countries and U.S. states implemented shelter‐in‐place (SIP) policies. However, the effects of SIP policies on public health are a priori ambiguous. Using an event study approach and data from 43 countries and all U.S. states, we measure changes in excess deaths following the implementation of COVID‐19 shelter‐in‐place (SIP) policies. We do not find that countries or U.S. states that implemented SIP policies earlier had lower excess deaths. We do not observe differences in excess deaths before and after the implementation of SIP policies, even when accounting for pre‐SIP COVID‐19 death rates.

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