Impacts of climate change on primary production and carbon sequestration of boreal Norway spruce forests: Finland as a model

Ge, Zheng–Ming; Kellomäki, Seppo; Peltola, Heli; Zhou, Xiao; Väisänen, Hannu; Strandman, Harri

doi:10.1007/s10584-012-0607-1

Cited by 27 publications

(13 citation statements)

References 28 publications

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“…Some tipping points or concurrent-and potentially synergistic-feedbacks such as permafrost melting [32] are likely to amplify the sensitivity of climate mitigation strategies and costs. Others feature uncertain consequences, such as the interaction between CO 2 fertilization, N limitation, temperature and water stress changes on ecosystem productivity [33][34][35][36][37]. Because these feedbacks are dependent on terrestrial processes, climate and human activities, further research would benefit from the development of a new generation of advanced integrated Earth system models, in which biogeochemical, biophysical, hydrological, and human aspects of the Earth system are coupled.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Sensitivity of climate mitigation strategies to natural disturbances

Page

Hurtt

Thomson

et al. 2013

Environ. Res. Lett.

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The present and future concentration of atmospheric carbon dioxide depends on both anthropogenic and natural sources and sinks of carbon. Most proposed climate mitigation strategies rely on a progressive transition to carbon-efficient technologies to reduce industrial emissions, substantially supported by policies to maintain or enhance the terrestrial carbon stock in forests and other ecosystems. This strategy may be challenged if terrestrial sequestration capacity is affected by future climate feedbacks, but how and to what extent is little understood. Here, we show that climate mitigation strategies are highly sensitive to future natural disturbance rates (e.g. fires, hurricanes, droughts), because of the potential effect of disturbances on the terrestrial carbon balance. Generally, altered disturbance rates affect the pace of societal and technological transitions required to achieve the mitigation target, with substantial consequences on the energy sector and the global economy. An understanding of the future dynamics and consequences of natural disturbances on terrestrial carbon balance is thus essential for developing robust climate mitigation strategies and policies.

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Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Sensitivity of climate mitigation strategies to natural disturbances

Page

Hurtt

Thomson

et al. 2013

Environ. Res. Lett.

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“…The changes in forest growth may be species-specific and depend on site fertility and environmental conditions at the stand level (Kellomäki et al 2008;Ge et al 2013aGe et al , 2013bGranda et al 2013;Torssonen et al 2015). For example, the growth of Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris L.) has been estimated to increase in boreal Finland and Sweden.…”

Section: Effects Of Climate Change and Forest Management On Growth Anmentioning

confidence: 99%

Increased forest biomass production in the Nordic and Baltic countries – a review on current and future opportunities

Rytter¹,

Ingerslev²,

Kilpeläinen³

et al. 2016

Silva Fenn.

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“…Peng et al, 2011;Price et al, 2013) and Fennoscandia's (e.g. Ge et al, 2013) boreal forests, proportionally little is known for Russia's boreal forests specifically, despite their great importance locally, regionally and globally -hence our present review. Warming in the boreal region in Russia has been stronger than in the global mean, while precipitation changes are regionally specific (Hansen et al, 2006(Hansen et al, , 2010.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Tamm Review: Observed and projected climate change impacts on Russia’s forests and its carbon balance

Schaphoff

Reyer

Schepaschenko

et al. 2016

Forest Ecology and Management

108

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a b s t r a c tRussia's boreal forests provide numerous important ecosystem functions and services, but they are being increasingly affected by climate change. This review presents an overview of observed and potential future climate change impacts on those forests with an emphasis on their aggregate carbon balance and processes driving changes therein. We summarize recent findings highlighting that radiation increases, temperature-driven longer growing seasons and increasing atmospheric CO 2 concentrations generally enhance vegetation productivity, while heat waves and droughts tend to decrease it. Estimates of major carbon fluxes such as net biome production agree that the Russian forests as a whole currently act as a carbon sink, but these estimates differ in terms of the magnitude of the sink due to different methods and time periods used. Moreover, models project substantial distributional shifts of forest biomes, but they may overestimate the extent to which the boreal forest will shift poleward as past migration rates have been slow. While other impacts of current climate change are already substantial, and projected impacts could be both large-scale and disastrous, the likelihood for a tipping point behavior of Russia's boreal forest is still unquantified. Other substantial research gaps include the large-scale effect of (climate-driven) disturbances such as fires and insect outbreaks, which are expected to increase in the future. We conclude that the impacts of climate change on Russia's boreal forest are often superimposed by other environmental and societal changes in a complex way, and the interaction of these developments could exacerbate both existing and projected future challenges. Hence, development of adaptation and mitigation strategies for Russia's forests is strongly advised.

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Impacts of climate change on primary production and carbon sequestration of boreal Norway spruce forests: Finland as a model

Cited by 27 publications

References 28 publications

Sensitivity of climate mitigation strategies to natural disturbances

Sensitivity of climate mitigation strategies to natural disturbances

Increased forest biomass production in the Nordic and Baltic countries – a review on current and future opportunities

Tamm Review: Observed and projected climate change impacts on Russia’s forests and its carbon balance

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