Impacts of climate change on oil palm production in Malaysia

Sarkar, Md. Sujahangir Kabir; Begum, Rawshan Ara; Pereira, Joy Jacqueline

doi:10.1007/s11356-020-07601-1

Cited by 76 publications

(61 citation statements)

References 35 publications

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“…This indicates an irregular pattern within the period of the study. A trend of increased rainfall over Peninsular Malaysia favours optimum oil palm FFB production [11,12,30,34,35]. However, as the global climate is changing and getting warmer resulting in irregular and uncertain rainfall patterns, storm surges frequency, and prolonged droughts in some places around the globe [36].…”

Section: Rainfall Trendmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…As of 2019, the total planted area was 2,769,003 hectares and slightly declined to 2,700,004 hectares which is attributed to the Covid-19 pandemic (MPOB, 2019) (Figure 7). Cultivation of oil palm vital to Malaysia's economic health, being the second largest exporter of palm oil globally [4,5,11,16,27,35,58,59]. The palm oil sector employs a huge workforce, with a combined employee number of 1.16 million individuals in Malaysia, accounting for 40.45% of agricultural employment [35].…”

Section: Regression Coefficientsmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Effects of Some Weather Parameters on Oil Palm Production in the Peninsular Malaysia

Ahmed¹,

M²,

M³

et al. 2021

Preprint

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The effect of some weather parameters (rainfall and temperature) on the production of oil palm in Peninsular Malaysia was investigated. Data were analysed using the Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS 20.0 version), with descriptive statistics, time series analysis, and multiple linear regression (MLR) carried out. SPSS and Microsoft Excel 2010 were used to analyse the results. The MLR model determined the strength of the relationship between oil palm yield (dependent variable) and the changing variables of temperature and rainfall (independent variables). The regression output returned three components; regression coefficients, regression statistics and ANOVA. The findings of the study revealed medium to high rainfall variability at the rate of 0.0008. This implies that rainfall is increasing over time with variations in its amount and intensity. As rainfall increases oil palm FFB production is predicted to increase at a slow rate of 0.0009. The estimation of average annual temperature indicated an increase of 5.6℃ at the rate of 0.0357℃ per year with a temperature maximum of 32.01℃ and minimum of 25.45℃. The result also revealed an increase in oil palm yield at the rate of 0.2581 per year with a mean value of 176247.6. Overall, there is a significant difference in the impact of rainfall and temperature on oil palm yield. This signifies that rainfall has a significant impact on oil palm yield (FFB) compared to temperature.

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Section: Rainfall Trendmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Regression Coefficientsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Effects of Some Weather Parameters on Oil Palm Production in the Peninsular Malaysia

Ahmed¹,

M²,

M³

et al. 2021

Preprint

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“…Changes in cold, heat and dry stresses were largely responsible for the changes in climatic suitability for oil palm cultivation while wet stress was unimportant in Paterson et al (2017) hence extending the range of parameters from temperature alone. A negative and significant relationship was found between annual average temperature and sea level rise and oil palm production in Malaysia (Sarkar et al 2020) who also stated that temperature rises of 1 to 4°C can cause the production of oil palm to decrease by 10 to 41%.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Longitudinal trends of future climate change and oil palm growth: empirical evidence for tropical Africa

Paterson

2021

Environ Sci Pollut Res

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Palms are highly significant tropical plants. Oil palms produce palm oil, the basic commodity of a highly important industry. Climate change from greenhouse gasses is likely to decrease the ability of palms to survive, irrespective of them providing ecosystem services to communities. Little information about species survival in tropical regions under climate change is available and data on species migration under climate change is important. Palms are particularly significant in Africa: a palm oil industry already exists with Nigeria being the largest producer. Previous work using CLIMEX modelling indicated that Africa will have reduced suitable climate for oil palm in Africa. The current paper employs this modelling to assess how suitable climate for growing oil palm changed in Africa from current time to 2100. An increasing trend in suitable climate from west to east was observed indicating that refuges could be obtained along the African tropical belt. Most countries had reduced suitable climates but others had increased, with Uganda being particularly high. There may be a case for developing future oil palm plantations towards the east of Africa. The information may be usefully applied to other palms. However, it is crucial that any developments will fully adhere to environmental regulations. Future climate change will have severe consequences to oil palm cultivation but there may be scope for eastwards mitigation in Africa.

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“…Climate change threatens the sustainability of crop production via factors such as rainfall and disease patterns (105), although the effects on tropical crops remain less well known, especially in SE Asia, Africa and Latin America (106,107). Some recent papers have begun to address the situation for OP (19,20,35,36,41,47,108). However, research on climate change in tropical countries remains patchy and studies covering large areas are lacking with data on thermoregulatory behaviours being absent for tropical lowland plants.…”

Section: Impacts Of Climate Changementioning

confidence: 99%

Oil Palm in the 2020s and Beyond: Challenges and Solutions

Murphy¹,

Goggin²,

Paterson³

2020

Preprint

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Background Oil palm (OP), Elaeis guineensis , is by far the most important global oil crop, supplying about 40% of total traded vegetable oil. Palm oils are key dietary components consumed daily by over three billion people, mostly in Asia, and also have a wide range of important non-food uses including in cleansing and sanitising products. Main body Oil palm is a perennial crop with a >25-year life cycle and an exceptionally small land footprint compared to annual oilseed crops. Oil palm crops globally produce an annual 81 million tonnes (Mt) of oil from about 19 million hectares (Mha). In contrast, the second and third largest vegetable oil crops, soybean and rapeseed, yield a combined 84 Mt oil but occupy over 163 Mha of increasingly scarce arable land. Despite this advantage, oil palm has acquired a poor environmental reputation, especially in Europe and North America, although soybean planting is now responsible for more deforestation. Oil palm crops face other challenges in the 2020s. On the demand side, these include changing consumer purchasing habits, threats to global trade systems, and diminishing demand for liquid fuels as transport systems become increasingly electrified. On the supply side, major issues include stagnant yields in ageing plantations, sluggish replanting of improved varieties, labour shortages, diseases and climatic/ environmental threats. The latter include the increasing incidence of new and existing pests/diseases and a general lack of climatic resilience, especially relating to elevated temperatures and increasingly erratic rainfall patterns. This review surveys the oil palm sector in the 2020s and beyond, its major challenges and options for future progress. Conclusions Oil palm crops face many future challenges, including emerging threats from climate change and new pests and diseases, that require more effective international collaboration. Nevertheless, new breeding technologies are providing the promise of improvements, such as much higher yielding varieties, improved oil profiles, enhanced disease resistance and modified crop architecture to enable harvesting mechanisation. The industry also needs to redouble its efforts to engage with global consumers in a constructive dialogue aimed at addressing its image problem and explaining the many benefits of its products.

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Impacts of climate change on oil palm production in Malaysia

Cited by 76 publications

References 35 publications

Effects of Some Weather Parameters on Oil Palm Production in the Peninsular Malaysia

Effects of Some Weather Parameters on Oil Palm Production in the Peninsular Malaysia

Longitudinal trends of future climate change and oil palm growth: empirical evidence for tropical Africa

Oil Palm in the 2020s and Beyond: Challenges and Solutions

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