Impact of war on stroke incidence in Ivano-Frankivsk, Ukraine

Abstract

Stroke is an extensive health problem in Ukraine, the prominence and effects of which are aggravated by the burden of the ongoing Russo-Ukrainian War. In this study, we aimed to holistically examine the overall stroke epidemiology in Ivano-Frankivsk using data from a secondary healthcare center in the city. We determine an increasing trend in stroke admissions since 2020, with a notable 22.4% increase in 2023, mainly due to ischemic stroke occurrence. In the same year, a significant non-linear relationship between stroke incidence and frequency of news about attacks was observed. Ordinal regression analysis of general sociodemographic, clinical, and healthcare-related factors influencing outcomes for intravenous thrombolysis-treated patients, revealed the significance of the 24-h National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score (0.32 ± 0.03) and interaction of age and Door-to-Needle Time (− 0.28 ± 0.08). However, the extension of the latter independently is not significantly correlated with patient outcomes. In conclusion, war-induced stress, intranational migrations, and lack of adequate chronic cardiovascular disease management are primarily responsible for these results. Modulations and improvements to the current healthcare system, including managing chronic diseases and early stroke symptom recognition, are necessary to optimize patient outcomes.