Impact of Community Mobility and Weather Variability on COVID-19 Case in the Provinces of Java Island

Muttaqien, Furqon H.; Naufal, Faishal Z.; Arymurthy, Aniati Murni; Syafarina, Inna; Latifah, Arnida Lailatul

doi:10.1145/3489088.3489122

Cited by 1 publication

(1 citation statement)

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“…The interventions conducted by the government may reduce the COVID-19 transmission, but it still cannot stop the virus from spreading. This is also stated by the study of [34] that based on their estimated effective reproductive number in the Capital city of Jakarta, Large Scale Social Restriction (LSSR) is effective to control the issue 1, February 2022 spread of COVID-19 in Jakarta with R t < 1, but it increases again when LSSR is relaxed or other interventions occurred such as a long weekend or big event holidays [5,37]. For example, in May 2020 when there was Ramadhan and Eid Al Fitr days, the human activities and mobilities seemed to increase.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 90%

Epidemic Data Analysis of Three Variants of COVID-19 Spread in Indonesia

Syafarina

Wirahman

Iryanto

et al. 2022

Jurnal Ilmu Komputer dan Informasi

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Three variants of COVID-19 had been found in Indonesia. A control strategy may rely on the transmission rate of the variant. This study aims to investigate how the variants spread in Indonesia by computing a basic and effective reproduction number on the national and province scale. The basic reproduction number shows the indicator of initial transmission rate of alpha variant computed by an exponential growth rate model. The effective reproduction number describes the dynamic of the transmission rate estimated based on a Bayesian approach. This study revealed that each variant shows different characteristics. The alpha variant of COVID-19 in Indonesia was mainly initiated from big cities, then it spread to all provinces quickly because the control strategies were not established well at the beginning. A rapid increase of the effective reproduction number about July 2021 showed a novel delta variant, but it could be managed quite well by a large number of testing and stronger restrictions. Before the end of 2021, a novel variant omicron was also shown by the steeper change of the effective reproduction number. Thus, the variant spread rate can be estimated by how steep the effective reproduction number change is.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 90%