Impact of Climate on Tourist Demand

Abstract

Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen:Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden.Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen.Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. Terms of use: Documents in Non-technical summaryTourism, being volatile and situation-specific, is responsive to climate change. Data on destinations of OECD tourists and holiday activities of Dutch tourists are analysed with the help of statistical techniques to find optimal temperatures at travel destination for different tourists and different tourist activities. Globally, OECD tourists prefer a temperature of 21ºC (average of the hottest month of the year) at their choice of holiday destination. This indicates that, under a scenario of gradual warming, tourists would spend their holidays in different places than they currently do. The statistical analysis further suggests that preferences for climates at tourist destinations differ among age and income groups. Impact of climate on tourist demand -3 -

Can sustainable tourism survive climate change?

“…e.g. an earlier model by Lise & Tol, 2002), it remains questionable whether future travel flows over more than half a century can be modelled, given persisting uncertainties regarding the role of different weather parameters and their perception by various population groups (e.g. Scott, Gössling, & de Freitas, 2008), the importance of weather parameters in comparison to other destination attributes, the complexity of behavioural change, the unknown role or genesis of extreme events and the uncertainty regarding future income and prices (Gössling & Hall, 2006).…”

The impact of climate change on tourism in Germany, the UK and Ireland: a simulation study

“…Version 1.0 is described by Hamilton et al (2005a), version 1.1 by Hamilton et al (2005b) and 1.2 by Bigano et al (2005). The econometrics are inspired by Maddison (2001), Lise and Tol (2002) and Hamilton (2003), while the data are as in Bigano et al (2004).…”

A General Equilibrium Analysis of Climate Change Impacts on Tourism

“…Theirs is an econometrically estimated simulation model of bilateral flows of tourists between 207 countries; the econometrics is reported in Maddison (2001), Lise and Tol (2002) and Hamilton (2003). The model yields the number of international tourists generated by each country.…”

“…Few of these studies look at the simultaneous changes of supply and demand at many locations. In fact, few of these studies look at all at economic aspects, the main exception being Maddison (2001), Lise and Tol (2002) and Hamilton (2003) who estimates the changes in demand of British, Dutch and German tourists, respectively. Hamilton et al (2004) do look at supply and demand for all countries, but their model is restricted to tourist numbers.…”