Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture: Evidence from Major Crop Production in India

Abstract

The study examines the impact of climatic changes on the production of the major crops grown in India. The study estimates the panel data from 1970 to 2020 by using the Panel Autoregressive Distributed Lag technique. The results of the study show that in the long run, maximum temperature has a negative impact on crop production, whereas carbon dioxide emissions have a positive impact on crop production. In the short run, maximum temperature and average precipitation positively affect crop production, whereas minimum temperature negatively affects the production of crops. Besides climatic variables, the study also incorporates non-climatic variable such as the area under crop. The results revealed that the area under crop has a positive significant effect on crop production both in the short run and long run. JEL Codes: C50, Q1, Q15, Q54