Impact of climate change on the agriculture sector and household welfare in Mozambique: an analysis based on a dynamic computable general equilibrium model

Manuel, Lourenço; Chiziane, Orcídia; Mandhlate, Gaby; Hartley, Faaiqa; Tostao, Emilio

doi:10.1007/s10584-021-03139-4

Cited by 17 publications

(8 citation statements)

References 8 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…However, a lack of established supply and value chains, along with a more assured market, keeps farmers dependent on tobacco production ( Ali et al , 2015 ; Magati et al ., 2019 ). Beyond the tensions discussed here, it is important to acknowledge that Mozambique is vulnerable to severe climate shocks that have been shown to negatively impact food insecurity ( Manuel et al ., 2021 ). Results on the impact of tobacco growing on food security have been mixed.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Tobacco policy (in)coherence in Mozambique: an examination of national and subnational stakeholder perspectives

Nguenha,

Rodriguez,

Drope

et al. 2024

Health Policy and Planning

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Mozambique ranks fifth on the list of tobacco producing countries in Africa, while also being a Party to the WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control (FCTC). Tobacco farming is regarded by some governments as a strategic economic commodity for export and remains deeply entrenched within Mozambique’s political and economic landscape. This study uses a qualitative description methodology to identify tensions, conflicts and alignment or misalignment in policy on tobacco across government sectors and levels in Mozambique. We conducted semi-structured qualitative interviews with 33 key informants from sectors across national and subnational levels including health, agriculture, economic and commercial sectors, as well as non-state actors from civil society organizations, the tobacco industry, farmers unions and associations and individual farmers. Incoherence was present across sectoral mandates, perspectives on industry’s presence in the country and regions and between FCTC provisions and informant perceptions of tobacco production as a development strategy. Despite tobacco being viewed as an important economic commodity by many informants, there was also widespread dissatisfaction with tobacco from both farmers and some government officials. There were indications of an openness to shifting to a policy that emphasizes alternatives to tobacco growing. The findings also illustrate where points of convergence exist across sectors and where opportunities for aligning tobacco policy with the provisions of the FCTC can occur.

show abstract

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Tobacco policy (in)coherence in Mozambique: an examination of national and subnational stakeholder perspectives

Nguenha,

Rodriguez,

Drope

et al. 2024

Health Policy and Planning

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Hence, adaptation interventions are sorted to sustain the future of smallholder agriculture across the globe. Furthermore, the SACRED method was utilised to provide a consistent framework for data analysis to assess temperature, precipitation, and evaporation impacts of different climate scenarios based on dynamic computable general equilibrium models in Ethiopia and Mozambique [24], [25].…”

Section: Agriculturementioning

confidence: 99%

“…Also, National or global datasets such as GIES, CORINE, NCHMF, HadGEM, SRTMN, RCM, NASS, USDA, APHRODITE, etc., include [31], [35], [41], [44], [49], [78], [93], [94]. Global Digital elevator model (DEM), land cover, soil map SWAT [43], [44] Social accounting matrices (SAM) such as temperature, precipitation, and evaporation CGE [24] 5. Implementation Frameworks for Climate Change Modeling Big Data Analytics…”

Section: Data Types and Sourcesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Recently Emerging Trends in Big Data Analytic Methods for Modeling and Combating Climate Change Effects

Ikegwu

Nweke

Alo

et al. 2023

Preprint

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Big climate change data have become a pressing issue that organizations faced with methods to analyse data generated from various data types. However, storage, processing, and analysis of data generated from climate change activities are massive, which is challenging for the current algorithms to handle. Therefore, big data analytics methods are designed for significant data that is required to enhance seasonal change monitoring and understanding, ascertain the health risk of climate change, and improve the allocation, and utilisation of natural resources. This paper provides an outlook on big data analytic methods and describes how climate change and sustainability issues can be analysed through these methods. We extensively discuss big data analytic methods, strengths, and weaknesses. The purpose of analysing big climate change using these methods, the common datasets and implementation frameworks for climate change modeling using the big data analytics approach was also discussed. This big data analytics method is well timed to solve the inherent issues of data analysis and easy realization of sustainable development goals.

show abstract

“…Ref. [8] showed the impacts of extreme weather on Kenya's growth and economy, whereas [25] found comparable results for the economy of Mozambique.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Less Water, Less Oil: Policy Response for the Kenyan Future, a CGE Analysis

2022

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

The continuous depletion of nonrenewable natural resources and climate change may lead to a future characterized by a higher frequency of extreme natural events (i.e., flooding, hurricanes, and droughts) and resource supply shocks (i.e., oil price shock). Sub-Saharan African countries will be particularly exposed to these types of shock due to their socioeconomic conditions and geographical conformation. This study investigates the impact of two contemporaneous covariant sudden shocks (i.e., drought and price oil shock) and the possible coping strategies through a static computable general equilibrium (CGE) model for Kenya. The results suggest that a mitigation policy as public transfers is an effective mitigation tool for drought effects, improving welfare and GDP in the short run. However, adopting public transfers during an oil crisis may have regressive effects on population income and welfare. Because the mitigation effectiveness is strongly affected by the complex interaction of combined shocks, the public authorities should pay attention to policy implementation. These findings call for a new scheme of transfer allocation where rural and low-income household quantiles should receive more attention by postdrought mitigation policy, being that they are more vulnerable to external shocks.

show abstract

Impact of climate change on the agriculture sector and household welfare in Mozambique: an analysis based on a dynamic computable general equilibrium model

Cited by 17 publications

References 8 publications

Tobacco policy (in)coherence in Mozambique: an examination of national and subnational stakeholder perspectives

Tobacco policy (in)coherence in Mozambique: an examination of national and subnational stakeholder perspectives

Recently Emerging Trends in Big Data Analytic Methods for Modeling and Combating Climate Change Effects

Less Water, Less Oil: Policy Response for the Kenyan Future, a CGE Analysis

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About