Impact Estimation Of Disasters: A Global Aggregate For 1960 To 2007

Okuyama, Yasuhide; Sahin, Sebnem

doi:10.1596/1813-9450-4963

Cited by 42 publications

(33 citation statements)

References 8 publications

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“…Some argue this may be especially true for rising urban centers with their increasing populations and the infrastructure buildup (The Economist 2012). Others suggest there are no significant trends in disaster loss and damage (Okuyama andSahin 2009, Neumayer andBarthel 2010), as shown in hurricane losses and damages in the US from 1900 to 2005 (Pielke et al 2008). …”

Section: B Population Exposure and Vulnerabilitymentioning

confidence: 99%

Global Increase in Climate-Related Disasters

Thomas

López

2015

SSRN Journal

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Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen:Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden.Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen.Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. Special appreciation to Pablo Troncoso Albornoz for working jointly with us on the findings of this paper. Thank you also to Yuki Ikeda for the earlier work on this paper and the continuing assistance from Alexis Arthur Garcia. The views expressed in this paper are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views and policies of the Asian Development Bank (ADB) or its Board of Governors or the governments they represent. Terms of use: Documents in ASIAN DEVELOPMENT BANKADB does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this publication and accepts no responsibility for any consequence of their use.By making any designation of or reference to a particular territory or geographic area, or by using the term "country" in this document, ADB does not intend to make any judgments as to the legal or other status of any territory or area. Note: In this publication, "$" refers to US dollars.The ADB Economics Working Paper Series is a forum for stimulating discussion and eliciting feedback on ongoing and recently completed research and policy studies undertaken by the Asian Development Bank (ADB) staff, consultants, or resource persons. The series deals with key economic and development problems, particularly those facing the Asia and Pacific region; as well as conceptual, analytical, or methodological issues relating to project/program economic analysis, and statistical data and measurement. The series aims to enhance the knowledge on Asia's development and policy challenges; strengthen analytical rigor and quality of ADB's country partnership strategies, and its subregional and country operations; and improve the quality and availability of statistical data and development indicators for monitoring development effectiveness.

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Section: B Population Exposure and Vulnerabilitymentioning

confidence: 99%

Global Increase in Climate-Related Disasters

Thomas

López

2015

SSRN Journal

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“…Furthermore, risk assessment is usuall y focused on the valuation of the potential consequences , but very often these are limited to the expected damages in terms of direct and tangible expected costs. Yet very little attention is given to indirect and intangible costs, which are proven to be a quite relevant component of the potential consequences of a n atural disaster (Cochrane 2004, Okuyama andSahin 2009 ). Given the interconnectivit y of the econom y at multiple scales, it is very important to evaluate the indirect risks of flood damages outside of the disaster area to achieve a comprehensive risk assessment.…”

Section: R = F (H V E) [1]mentioning

confidence: 99%

Integrated Assessment of Natural Hazards and Climate Change Adaptation: I - The KULTURisk Methodological Framework

Giupponi

Mojtahed²,

Gain³

et al. 2013

SSRN Journal

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A conceptual framework integrating different disciplines has been developed to comprehensively evaluate the benefits of risk prevention. Three main innovations are proposed with regards to the state of the art: (1) to include the social capacities of reducing risk, (2) to go beyond the estimation of direct tangible costs, and (3) to provide an operational solution to assess risks, impacts and the benefits of plausible risk reduction measures. The traditional risk metric in the physical sciences is the expected damage (direct tangible costs), which is defined as a function of hazard, vulnerability (physical) and exposure. The last element, exposure, provides the information to convert results into monetary terms. In the development of the KULTURisk Framework (KR-FWK), we considered several different pre-existing proposals, and we designed a new one as a conceptual model and also a flow-chart for the elaboration of information. The proposed KR-FWK is thus expected to provide: 1) an operational basis for multidisciplinary integration; 2) a flexible reference to deal with heterogeneous case studies and potentially various types of hazards; and 3) a means to support the assessment of alternative risk prevention measures including consideration of social and cultural dimensions. The project case studies of the process are expected to provide a quite diversified set of situations, allowing to consolidate the framework itself and to develop ad hoc tailored solutions for most common implementation cases.

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“…This study is performed for several reasons. Amongst the various types of natural disasters that can lead to bridge closures and failures, floods are a leading cause of bridge closures and failures [7,8]. More intense flooding is expected to occur in flood-prone areas in the future as more frequent and heavier periods of precipitation occur as a result of climate change [9][10][11].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Scenario-Based Economic Impact Analysis for Bridge Closures Due to Flooding: A Case Study of North Gyeongsang Province, South Korea

Kim

Shin

Kim

2018

Water

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Abstract:Flooding has the ability to severely reduce the capacity of a transportation network. The closure of even a single bridge, which often acts as a critical link in transportation networks, can have a severe impact on the entire network. This impact can lead to significant economic costs resulting from increased travel distances for drivers. Despite the significance of these costs, however, notably few studies have been conducted to determine the societal economic cost that would be incurred due to bridge closures. One possible reason for the lack of studies investigating bridge closures due to flooding could stem from the difficultly in collecting data. To address this issue, the methodology presented in this paper uses modeling and data resources that are available for major cities in most developed countries, including those in South Korea. We evaluate the economic impact of the bridge closures using the new administrative capital of North Gyeongsang Province, South Korea as a case study. Scenarios for the closure of bridges are derived from channel surveys and hydraulic analyses. These methods are used to overcome a lack of adequate data on historical floods in the new city. Traffic is forecasted to estimate the number of road users that would be forced to take detours due to inundated bridges. Contrasting travel distances when bridges are and are not operational, economic costs incurred by bridge closures due to flooding are estimated. The results indicated that bridge closures would result in an economic cost of 1563 USD to 44,180 USD per day, depending on how many bridges are closed and how many people are living in the new city. The estimates from this study will act as guidelines for identifying cost-effective mitigation and preparedness strategies aimed at reducing the frequency and impact of bridge closures due to flooding.

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Impact Estimation Of Disasters: A Global Aggregate For 1960 To 2007

Cited by 42 publications

References 8 publications

Global Increase in Climate-Related Disasters

Global Increase in Climate-Related Disasters

Integrated Assessment of Natural Hazards and Climate Change Adaptation: I - The KULTURisk Methodological Framework

Scenario-Based Economic Impact Analysis for Bridge Closures Due to Flooding: A Case Study of North Gyeongsang Province, South Korea

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