Purpose
To explore whether baseline to 12-month follow-up (M) change in femorotibial cartilage thickness (differs between subjects who received a KR between 24M and 60M from those without KR.
Methods
In this prospective cohort study, 531 right knees from Osteoarthritis Initiative participants with definite radiographic KOA (KLG2–4) were studied. Segmentation was applied to coronal fast low angle shot (FLASH) magnetic resonance images (MRI), to quantitatively determine cartilage thickness in 16 femorotibial subregions. Unadjusted p-values (t-tests) and p-values adjusted for age, baseline BMI, KLG and sex (generalized estimating equation models) were used to evaluate differences in longitudinal one-year rates of cartilage thickness between KRs and non-KRs, with TKA status as fixed effect.
Results
Of the 531 participants (age 63±9y, BMI 30±4.8) 40 received a femorotibial KR within 4 years. At baseline, KRs had thinner medial and lateral femorotibial cartilage (−15%; p<0.001) than non-KRs. Longitudinal cartilage thickness change was significantly greater in KRs than in non-KRs in a) the total femorotibial joint (area under curve [AUC]=0.64), b) the lateral compartment (AUC=0.66), c) both tibiae (AUC≥0.61), and d) the first 9 (of 16) ordered values (OVs) of subregion change (AUC=0.64–0.69). Discrimination was stronger for KRs that occurred at 24/36M (n=18) than for those at 48M/60M (n=22).
Conclusions
Knees with incident KR displayed smaller baseline cartilage thickness and greater lateral as well as location-independent (OV) femorotibial cartilage loss than non-KRs. Discrimination of cartilage loss was greater for KRs occurring within 2 years after the measurement than for those occurring later.