2009
DOI: 10.1111/j.1475-6765.2009.01887.x
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If things can only get worse: Anticipation of enlargement in European Union legislative politics

Abstract: Anticipation is a central feature of political behaviour. It has an impact on actors' choices and can change the timing of decisions. This article analyses anticipation in legislative politics. After delineating different objects as well as consequences of anticipation theoretically, a set of hypotheses about anticipatory behaviour in EU decision‐making is derived. In particular, it is asked whether the EU Council anticipates the arrival of new Member States and how this affects legislative output. The theory … Show more

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Cited by 37 publications
(23 citation statements)
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“…The inability to do so, reflected in a diminishing legislative output, would be a major symptom of political paralysis and institutional gridlock. Three existing studies suggest that the impact of enlargement on the EU's legislative output has been negative Leuffen and Hertz 2010;Plechanovova 2013).…”
Section: Legislative Outputmentioning
confidence: 99%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…The inability to do so, reflected in a diminishing legislative output, would be a major symptom of political paralysis and institutional gridlock. Three existing studies suggest that the impact of enlargement on the EU's legislative output has been negative Leuffen and Hertz 2010;Plechanovova 2013).…”
Section: Legislative Outputmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In contrast to much of the existing academic literature (in particular, Hertz and Leuffen [2011]; König [2007]; König and Bräuninger [2002]; Leuffen [2006]; Leuffen and Hertz [2010]; Settembri [2007]; see also Avery et al [2009]; Plechanovova [2011]; Thomson [2009]; Zimmer et al [2005]; for more nuanced positions, see ; Kelemen et al [2014]) and the dominant public discourse, 4 I find that the Eastern enlargement has not had a major negative effect on the decision-making capacity of the EU. If anything, the speed of decision-making for some important types of legal acts has actually increased, and more legislation is being produced after 2004 than in the 10 years preceding the accession of the first post-communist countries to the EU.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Anticipation was included in view of the anticipation effect found prior to EU enlargement (Leuffen & Hertz, 2010). We identified two moments of key importance for the colegislators: the EP elections of 2004-resulting in a new and enlarged Parliament-and of 2009.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…While it should be emphasised that we do not systematically test theoretical claims in this paper, the figures suggest that enlargement was, indeed, accompanied by an increased use of EAs. This trend has started a bit earlier though, which may suggest that an anticipation effect (Leuffen and Hertz 2010) was at work.…”
Section: Capturing Early Agreementsmentioning
confidence: 97%