Abstract. Plant wax n-alkane chain length distribution and isotopes
have been studied in modern ecosystems as proxies to reconstruct vegetation
and climate of the past. However, most paleo-proxies focus on either
concentrations or isotopes, whereas both carry complementary information on
the mixing sources. We propose a multi-source mixing model in a Bayesian
framework that evaluates both chain length distributions and isotopes
simultaneously. The model consists of priors that include user-defined
source groups and their associated parametric distributions of n-alkane
concentration and δ13C. The mixing process involves newly
defined mixing fractions such as fractional leaf mass contribution (FLMC)
that can be used in vegetation reconstruction. Markov Chain Monte Carlo is
used to generate samples from the posterior distribution of these parameters
conditioned on both data types. We present three case studies from distinct
settings. The first involves n-C27, n-C29, and n-C31 alkanes in lake surface sediments of Lake Qinghai, China. The model provides more specific interpretations on the n-alkane input from aquatic sources than the conventional Paq proxy. The second involves n-C29, n-C31, and n-C33 alkanes in lake surface sediments in Cameroon, western Africa. The
model produces mixing fractions of forest C3, savanna C3, and
C4 plants, offering additional information on the dominant biomes
compared to the traditional two-end-member mixing regime. The third couples
the vegetation source model to a hydrogen isotope model component, using
biome-specific apparent fractionation factors (εa) to
estimate the δ2H of mean annual precipitation. By leveraging chain length distribution, δ13C, and δ2H data of
four n-alkane chains, the model produces estimated precipitation δ2H with relatively small uncertainty limits. The new framework shows promise for interpretation of paleo-data but could be further improved by including processes associated with n-alkane turnover in plants, transport,
and integration into sedimentary archives. Future studies on modern plants
and catchment systems will be critical to develop calibration datasets that
advance the strength and utility of the framework.