Identification of spatially constrained homogeneous clusters of COVID‐19 transmission in Italy

Abstract

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A Spatio‐temporal analysis of COVID‐19 outbreak in Italy

“…This issue raises both for the number of active cases and for the mortality rate (Saglietto, D'Ascenzo, Zoccai, & De Ferrari, 2020). The Italian official data on the number of daily positive test appears as biased because it does not separate control tests and new patients (Benedetti, Piersimoni, Pignataro, & Vidoli, 2020). The need for more reliable data stresses survey strategies at the regional and provincial levels for improving health policies (Boccia, Ricciardi, & Ioannidis, 2020).…”

El potencial impacto económico de la pandemia por COVID-19 en las regiones argentinas y sus patrones productivos sectoriales en el periodo abril-junio de 2020

“…La pandemia por COVID-19 ha impactado fuertemente, pero también en forma asimétrica, todas las economías del mundo, sea cual sea el horizonte de comparación que se tome: entre países, regiones, sectores, empresas, hogares o trabajadores (Adams-Prassl, Boneva, Golin y Rauh, 2020; Blundell, Costa-Dias, Joyce y Xu, 2020; Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe, 2020a;2020b;Sokol y Pataccini, 2020). La literatura reciente plantea, a su vez, la necesidad de adoptar una perspectiva regional en el análisis del impacto económico de la pandemia, a fin de comprender mejor y gestionar más adecuadamente el impacto desigual de las medidas de aislamiento y restricción a la movilidad (Benedetti, Piersimoni, Pignataro y Vidoli, 2020; Brinks y Ibert, 2020; Cerqua y Letta, 2020; Giannone, Paixão y Pang, 2020; Organización para la Cooperación y el Desarrollo Económico, 2020).…”

“…El estudio del impacto económico de la pandemia en términos territoriales puede ser relevante por varias razones. En primer lugar, es un insumo básico para diseñar y ejecutar respuestas a medida a nivel local y regional (Friedman, Friedman, Johnson y Landsberg, 2020;Rahman et al, 2020), en lugar de políticas centralizadas (one-size-fits-all) que han fracasado en varios países (Bailey y Tomlinson, 2020;Benedetti et al, 2020;Giannone et al, 2020;Morrison y Doussineau, 2019). La posibilidad de atenuar el impacto económico directo y los efectos indirectos de la recesión dependen crucialmente de la existencia de estas políticas, así como de instrumentos focalizados, que por lo general implican una mayor descentralización de funciones, poderes o recursos a nivel regional.…”

How to measure the territorial economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in contexts with scarce regional data?

“…Recent studies highlight that, unlike other crises such as that of 2008-2009, the impact of the pandemic has been regional rather than national, and in the case of developed countries, the territorial differences observed within them have been greater than those registered between nations , Amdaoud et al 2021. This is why the literature raises the need to adopt a regional perspective in the analysis of the economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, in order to understand and adequately manage the uneven impact of isolation and mobility restriction measures (Benedetti et al 2020, Brinks, Ibert 2020, Cerqua, Letta 2020, Giannone et al 2020, OECD 2020.…”

“…The study of the regional economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic is relevant for several reasons. First, it is a basic input for designing and executing place-based responses (Friedman et al 2020, Rahman et al 2020, rather than centralized (one-size-fits-all) policies that have failed in many countries (Morrison, Doussineau 2019, Bailey, Tomlinson 2020, Benedetti et al 2020, Giannone et al 2020, OECD 2020. As highlighted by Giannone et al (2020), isolation measures established evenly at the national level can be very early in some cities -mainly small, where the virus takes longer to spreador very late in others, such as large urban centers.…”