Identification of Pandemic Risks During the Analysis of Economic Security of Regions

Abstract

The relevance of the study is determined by the need to identify the risks of a pandemic and conduct regular monitoring of the state of economic security of Russian regions in order to take operational anti-crisis measures.The purpose of the study is to substantiate the author's approach to studying the risks of a pandemic and its impact on regional development, as well as to create a methodology for assessing the economic security of Russian regions.The objectives of the study include: identification and systematization of pandemic risks for economic security; development of a methodology for analyzing the economic security of regions taking into account the risks of a pandemic; preparation of recommendations for ensuring the economic security of regions based on leveling the risks of a pandemic.Metodology. Research methods: method of comparative analysis, graphical method, method of systematization, method of economic and statistical analysis, method of calculation of integral indicators, method of expert assessments. The scientific novelty of the research consists in the development of the author's methodology for analyzing and assessing the level of economic security of regions under the impact of pandemic risks, as well as in determining the directions of state policy to level them.Results. The authors have identified and systematized the risks of a pandemic that determine the state of economic security in the region. The article proposes a methodology for analyzing the economic security of regions, taking into account the risks of a pandemic, which has been tested on data from three Russian regions (Tambov, Kaluga and Belgorod regions). The expediency of implementing a set of state policy measures aimed at leveling the risks of a pandemic in the regions is substantiated.Conclusion. The results of the analysis made it possible to identify a region with a high level of economic security (Belgorod Region), as well as to formulate proposals for the implementation of the state policy of leveling the risks of a pandemic in the Tambov and Kaluga regions.