Identification and dynamic analysis of crime hot-spots in Hungary by a complex Computer Intelligence approach

Crime “Hot-Spots” Identification and Analysis in Hungary by Computational Intelligence

“…We attempted to interpret the charts and recorded the appropriate conclusions in a structured way. These new results were presented verbally at some conferences and published in a conference article [2].…”

“…126 "large municipalities" (város) among them and 2683 other municipalities (község) [2]. As mentioned above, Pre-Stat (available on https://prestat.lechnerkozpont.hu/bunmegelozes/ for hungarian citizens) is an interactive map of Hungarian crime data with database export features.…”

“… Average criminal acts per 100,000 inhabitants, between 2010 and 2017 for 197 districts, in an annual breakdown  Average criminal acts per 100,000 inhabitants, between 2013 and 2017 for 197 districts, in a monthly breakdown Each district is represented with the coordinates of its seat on the related maps [2].…”

“…The crime hotspot detection and analysis can help with the decision making of the police to suggest where police actions need to be focused. Time series analysis can also help with the allocation strategy of a police force, by showing and predicting the tendencies of crime intensity [2].…”

“…Its aim is to form clusters of objects (patterns), so that similar objects are grouped into the same clusters and different objects are grouped into different clusters [2] [4]. There are several methods known for clustering into vague clusters (with uncertain, maybe, overlapping borderlines), among various advantages and disadvantages [2].…”