Abstract:Abstract. We report changes in ice velocity of a 6.5 million km 2 region around South Pole encompassing the Filchner-Ronne and Ross Ice Shelves and a significant portion of the ice streams and glaciers that constitute their catchment areas. Using the first full interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) coverage of the region completed in 2009 and partial coverage acquired in 1997, we processed the data to assemble a comprehensive map of ice speed changes between those two years. On the Ross Ice Shelf, o… Show more
“…Apparent upstream slowing of Bindschadler and MacAyeal ice streams are at the limit of detectability and difficult to interpret. Recent assessments show varying changes in ice stream velocities for this region (Hulbe et al, 2016;Scheuchl et al, 2012), suggesting that measured trends may be influenced by rapid changes in the sub-ice-stream hydrology (Hulbe et al, 2016).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Mass budget and change in discharge for the 27 basins defined by Zwally et al (2002). Mass budget is calculated as described in Table 2 Scheuchl et al, 2012) with a correction for acquisition time differences to provide an estimate of total discharge for the interior basins (2, 17 and 18; see Table 2). Flux gates FG1 and FG2 are shown with solid green and dashed blue lines, respectively.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…auto-RIFT uncertainties are lowest for the 2015 mapping simply due to a much larger number of available image pairs. The reason for higher uncertainties of the LISA products is not entirely known but is likely due to differences in geolocation offset correction and merging proce- Scheuchl et al, 2012). Much of the difference between velocity mappings can be attributed to product errors.…”
Section: Changes In Surface Velocity and Ice Dischargementioning
Abstract. Ice discharge from large ice sheets plays a direct role in determining rates of sea-level rise. We map presentday Antarctic-wide surface velocities using Landsat 7 and 8 imagery spanning 2013-2015 and compare to earlier estimates derived from synthetic aperture radar, revealing heterogeneous changes in ice flow since ∼ 2008. The new mapping provides complete coastal and inland coverage of ice velocity north of 82.4 • S with a mean error of < 10 m yr −1 , resulting from multiple overlapping image pairs acquired during the daylight period. Using an optimized flux gate, ice discharge from Antarctica is 1929 ± 40 Gigatons per year (Gt yr −1 ) in 2015, an increase of 36 ± 15 Gt yr −1 from the time of the radar mapping. Flow accelerations across the grounding lines of West Antarctica's Amundsen Sea Embayment, Getz Ice Shelf and Marguerite Bay on the western Antarctic Peninsula, account for 88 % of this increase. In contrast, glaciers draining the East Antarctic Ice Sheet have been remarkably constant over the period of observation. Including modeled rates of snow accumulation and basal melt, the Antarctic ice sheet lost ice at an average rate of 183 ± 94 Gt yr −1 between 2008 and 2015. The modest increase in ice discharge over the past 7 years is contrasted by high rates of ice sheet mass loss and distinct spatial patters of elevation lowering. The West Antarctic Ice Sheet is experiencing high rates of mass loss and displays distinct patterns of elevation lowering that point to a dynamic imbalance. We find modest increase in ice discharge over the past 7 years, which suggests that the recent pattern of mass loss in Antarctica is part of a longer-term phase of enhanced glacier flow initiated in the decades leading up to the first continent-wide radar mapping of ice flow.
“…Apparent upstream slowing of Bindschadler and MacAyeal ice streams are at the limit of detectability and difficult to interpret. Recent assessments show varying changes in ice stream velocities for this region (Hulbe et al, 2016;Scheuchl et al, 2012), suggesting that measured trends may be influenced by rapid changes in the sub-ice-stream hydrology (Hulbe et al, 2016).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Mass budget and change in discharge for the 27 basins defined by Zwally et al (2002). Mass budget is calculated as described in Table 2 Scheuchl et al, 2012) with a correction for acquisition time differences to provide an estimate of total discharge for the interior basins (2, 17 and 18; see Table 2). Flux gates FG1 and FG2 are shown with solid green and dashed blue lines, respectively.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…auto-RIFT uncertainties are lowest for the 2015 mapping simply due to a much larger number of available image pairs. The reason for higher uncertainties of the LISA products is not entirely known but is likely due to differences in geolocation offset correction and merging proce- Scheuchl et al, 2012). Much of the difference between velocity mappings can be attributed to product errors.…”
Section: Changes In Surface Velocity and Ice Dischargementioning
Abstract. Ice discharge from large ice sheets plays a direct role in determining rates of sea-level rise. We map presentday Antarctic-wide surface velocities using Landsat 7 and 8 imagery spanning 2013-2015 and compare to earlier estimates derived from synthetic aperture radar, revealing heterogeneous changes in ice flow since ∼ 2008. The new mapping provides complete coastal and inland coverage of ice velocity north of 82.4 • S with a mean error of < 10 m yr −1 , resulting from multiple overlapping image pairs acquired during the daylight period. Using an optimized flux gate, ice discharge from Antarctica is 1929 ± 40 Gigatons per year (Gt yr −1 ) in 2015, an increase of 36 ± 15 Gt yr −1 from the time of the radar mapping. Flow accelerations across the grounding lines of West Antarctica's Amundsen Sea Embayment, Getz Ice Shelf and Marguerite Bay on the western Antarctic Peninsula, account for 88 % of this increase. In contrast, glaciers draining the East Antarctic Ice Sheet have been remarkably constant over the period of observation. Including modeled rates of snow accumulation and basal melt, the Antarctic ice sheet lost ice at an average rate of 183 ± 94 Gt yr −1 between 2008 and 2015. The modest increase in ice discharge over the past 7 years is contrasted by high rates of ice sheet mass loss and distinct spatial patters of elevation lowering. The West Antarctic Ice Sheet is experiencing high rates of mass loss and displays distinct patterns of elevation lowering that point to a dynamic imbalance. We find modest increase in ice discharge over the past 7 years, which suggests that the recent pattern of mass loss in Antarctica is part of a longer-term phase of enhanced glacier flow initiated in the decades leading up to the first continent-wide radar mapping of ice flow.
“…Centennialand subcentennial-scale variability has taken place in Antarctica over the last 1,000 y (6). Variability on a decadal time scale includes the ongoing deceleration and widening of Whillans Ice Stream (7,8) and velocity changes in its tributaries (9,10), as well as subsequent deceleration and speedup of MacAyeal and Bindschadler Ice Streams (11), and centennial-scale stagnation and reactivation cycles have been inferrered for Whillans, Kamb, and MacAyeal Ice Streams (12). The slowdown of Whillans, along with the shutdown of Kamb Ice Stream ca.…”
Ice streams are narrow corridors of fast-flowing ice that constitute the arterial drainage network of ice sheets. Therefore, changes in ice stream flow are key to understanding paleoclimate, sea level changes, and rapid disintegration of ice sheets during deglaciation. The dynamics of ice flow are tightly coupled to the climate system through atmospheric temperature and snow recharge, which are known exhibit stochastic variability. Here we focus on the interplay between stochastic climate forcing and ice stream temporal dynamics. Our work demonstrates that realistic climate fluctuations are able to (i) induce the coexistence of dynamic behaviors that would be incompatible in a purely deterministic system and (ii) drive ice stream flow away from the regime expected in a steady climate. We conclude that environmental noise appears to be crucial to interpreting the past behavior of ice sheets, as well as to predicting their future evolution.
“…Therefore, monitoring the stability of the ice shelves is an integral part of the study of AIS mass changes and the associated sea level rise. As some smaller sized ice shelves in the lower latitude and warmer Antarctic Peninsula region, such as the Larsen B ice shelf, experienced collapses (Scambos 5 et al, 2004;Braun et al, 2009), changes of the two largest ice shelves, Ross Ice Shelf (RIS) and RonneFilchner Ice Shelf (RFIS), have also been intensely studied (Hulbe et al, 1998;Larour et al, 2004;Joughin and MacAyeal, 2005;Makinson et al, 2011;Scheuchl et al, 2012;Marsh et al, 2015).…”
Abstract. We propose a new framework of systematic fracture mapping and major calving event prediction for the large ice shelves in Antarctica using multisource satellite data, including optical imagery, SAR imagery, altimetric data, and stereo mapping imagery. The new framework is implemented and 10 applied for a comprehensive study of the fracturing of Ronne-Filchner Ice Shelf (RFIS), the second largest ice shelf in Antarctica, using a long time dataset dating back to 1957. New remote sensing data that have been made available in the past decade, including Landsat 8, WV-2, ZY-3 and others, greatly enhance our abilities to detect new fractures and monitor large rifts in three dimensions. Two large rifts, Rifts 1 and 2, were newly detected and are comparable to the Grand Chasm that caused a major calving event in 15 the region in 1986. Three-dimensional rift models generated from quasi real-time stereo ZY-3 images revealed important topographic information about the large rifts that can be used to improve the reliability of ice shelf modeling and support enhanced analyses of ice shelf stability. Based on the results of the 2D and 3D fracture mapping, the spatial and temporal analyses of the overall fracture changes and large rift evolutions, i.e., the level of fracturing in RFIS, were slightly increased, particularly at the front of the ice 20 sheet. The overall fracture observations do not seem to suggest immediate significant impacts on the stability of the shelf. However, the most active regional fracturing activities occurred at the front of Filchner Ice Shelf (FIS). A potential upcoming major calving event of FIS is estimated to occur in 2051.The stability of the ice shelf, particularly with regard to the developments of Rifts 1 and 2, should be closely monitored.
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