<i>Methods of Operations Research</i>

Morse, Philip Μ.; Kimball, George E.; Blackett, P. M. S.

doi:10.1063/1.3067068

Cited by 107 publications

(29 citation statements)

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“…In this situation, Proposition 3 asserts that the insurgents concentrate their forces and that, depending on the force level f relative to and B i * , the government engages the insurgents (when battle casualties are lower than civilian casualties prevented) or not. This conclusion is consistent with the principle of force concentration, which is derived from Lanchester's Square Law (Morse and Kimball 1946).…”

Section: Sequential Force Allocation Gamesupporting

confidence: 75%

“…The engagement dynamics in these papers are asymmetric and involve a mixture of precise (aimed) and imprecise (area) fire: Guerrillas can observe the movement and location of government forces and engage with aimed fire, whereas government forces have limited situational awareness and therefore engage with area fire. Aimed fire leads to the Lanchester Square Law, whereas area fire leads to the Lanchester Linear Law (Morse and Kimball 1946).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Confronting Entrenched Insurgents

Kaplan

Kress

Szechtman

2010

Operations Research

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During counterinsurgency operations, government forces with superior firepower confront weaker low-signature insurgents. Under what conditions should government (Blue) forces attack insurgent (Red) strongholds? How should the government allocate its force across different strongholds when the insurgents' threat to the Blue civilian population must be taken into account? How should the government respond to "smart" insurgents who anticipate the government's optimal plan of attack and prepare accordingly? How do the results change when the government takes Red civilian casualties resulting from attacks on insurgent strongholds into account? This article addresses these questions. Using Lanchester models modified to account for imperfect intelligence, we formulate an optimal force allocation problem for the government and develop a knapsack approximation that has tight error bounds. We also model a sequential force allocation game between the insurgents and the government and solve for its equilibrium. When the government has perfect intelligence, in equilibrium the insurgents concentrate their force in a single stronghold that the government either attacks or not depending upon the resulting casualty count. Otherwise, under reasonable assumptions regarding the government's behavior and intelligence capabilities, it is optimal for the insurgents to "spread out" in a way that maximizes the number of soldiers required to win all battles. If the government worries about Red civilian casualties, the insurgents have a strong incentive to blend in with the Red civilian population, because this can prevent government attacks while allowing the insurgents to inflict casualties on Blue civilians. Such strategic behavior makes it harder for the government to protect its citizens from insurgent attacks.

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Section: Sequential Force Allocation Gamesupporting

confidence: 75%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Confronting Entrenched Insurgents

Kaplan

Kress

Szechtman

2010

Operations Research

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“…From 1970 to the present time in our country is realized program-target planning and development management of WME [1]. The necessary controls and research institutions were created, organizational procedures, mathematical methods and models were developed, as well as relevant practical experience were gained.…”

Section: Information Technologiesmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Before considering the basic principles of program-target approach to the planning and management, will focus on its basic concepts [1], related to the formalization of the organizational form of human activity, including planning and management.…”

Section: Information Technologiesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Program-target planning and management the creation of complex technical and human-machine systems

Barishpolets¹

2014

RENSIT

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“…The next year, I did receive the RamoWooldridge Fellowship and spent the summer of 1957 working with them in Los Angeles, again in close contact with Linvill. During this time, some notable people that I got to work with were George Kimball 2 and Philip Morse, 3 the authors of the first text on operations research: Methods of Operations Research (Morse and Kimball 1951) based on their wartime experience. They became my advisors for my doctoral thesis on dynamic programming and Markov processes.…”

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confidence: 99%

An Interview with Ronald A. Howard

Garber

2009

Decision Analysis

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Ronald A. Howard has contributed substantially to defining the field of decision analysis since his first publication using that term in 1966 (Howard 1966). He has been a professor at the School of Engineering at Stanford since 1965, currently teaching an average of 450 students per year and having had 86 Ph.D. students in the last 44 years. In addition to numerous journal publications, Ron Howard has authored five books, including one very recent book on ethical decision making (Howard 1960, 1971; Howard and Matheson 1977, 1984; Howard and Korver 2008). He earned his Sc.D. in electrical engineering from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) in 1958. Prior to joining the Stanford faculty, Howard was associate professor of electrical engineering, associate professor of industrial management, and associate director of the Operations Research Center at MIT. In 1986 he received the Frank P. Ramsey Award for “distinguished contributions in decision analysis.” Professor Howard was also a cofounder of Strategic Decisions Group (a private consulting firm) and the Decision Education Foundation (a philanthropic educational foundation). Earlier this year I had the pleasure of interviewing Professor Howard to discuss his life and his experiences in academia and business, as well as his current directions.

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Methods of Operations Research

Cited by 107 publications

References 0 publications

Confronting Entrenched Insurgents

Confronting Entrenched Insurgents

Program-target planning and management the creation of complex technical and human-machine systems

An Interview with Ronald A. Howard

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