Hydrological Changes: Historical Analysis, Contemporary Status, and Future Projections

Shiklomanov, A. I.; Lammers, R. B.; Lettenmaier, Dennis P.; Polischuk, Yuriy M.; Савичев, Олег Геннадьевич; Smith, L. C.; Chernokulsky, А. V.

doi:10.1007/978-94-007-4569-8_4

Cited by 54 publications

(36 citation statements)

References 59 publications

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“…These results were consistent with the findings of runoff responses to climate change in the TRHR [47,48,50,59]. In northern Eurasian and northwestern North American rivers, it was suggested that the accelerated increase in the groundwater discharge from permafrost degradation has led to runoff increases in recent decades [7,60,61]. In the permafrost regions of the QinghaiTibet Plateau, Ge et al [62] also found that, with increased warming, there is more groundwater flow in the active layer and therefore increased groundwater discharge to rivers.…”

Section: Impacts Of Climate Change On Runoffsupporting

confidence: 78%

“…The main feature of the long-term fluctuations in discharge of most Arctic rivers is an increase [5]. The is followed by seasonal variations of river flow with increases in winter discharge and changes in magnitude of minimum river flow and the temporal shifts in maximum river flow [6,7]. Conversely, the long-term variation trend in runoff in the permafrost areas of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau is a decrease [8].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Because of the minor human intervention (e.g., reservoirs, dams, and agricultural irrigation), the main reason for these tendencies is regional changes in climate conditions during the last 30 years [5,9]. However, little is known about the differences in the effects of climate changes on surface runoff in different permafrost regions [4,7].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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ANN Model-Based Simulation of the Runoff Variation in Response to Climate Change on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, China

Chang

Wang

Mao

et al. 2017

Advances in Meteorology

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Precisely quantitative assessments of stream flow response to climatic change and permafrost thawing are highly challenging and urgent in cold regions. However, due to the notably harsh environmental conditions, there is little field monitoring data of runoff in permafrost regions, which has limited the development of physically based models in these regions. To identify the impacts of climate change in the runoff process in the Three-River Headwater Region (TRHR) on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, two artificial neural network (ANN) models, one with three input variables (previous runoff, air temperature, and precipitation) and another with two input variables (air temperature and precipitation only), were developed to simulate and predict the runoff variation in the TRHR. The results show that the three-input variable ANN model has a superior real-time prediction capability and performs well in the simulation and forecasting of the runoff variation in the TRHR. Under the different scenarios conditions, the forecasting results of ANN model indicated that climate change has a great effect on the runoff processes in the TRHR. The results of this study are of practical significance for water resources management and the evaluation of the impacts of climatic change on the hydrological regime in long-term considerations.

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Section: Impacts Of Climate Change On Runoffsupporting

confidence: 78%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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ANN Model-Based Simulation of the Runoff Variation in Response to Climate Change on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, China

Chang

Wang

Mao

et al. 2017

Advances in Meteorology

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“…We used R-ArcticNET data from the Arctic-RIMS database of the University of New Hampshire (Shiklomanov et al 2012). This database included daily discharge data from the 1930s to 2009.…”

Section: Grace and Forcing Datamentioning

confidence: 99%

Satellite gravimetry-based analysis of terrestrial water storage and its relationship with run-off from the Lena River in eastern Siberia

Suzuki

Matsuo

Hiyama

2016

International Journal of Remote Sensing

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“…At different times the study of hydrology and river run-off in the region was conducted by PS Kuzin, DA Burakov, LK Malik, AN Antipov, SP Nikitin, VA Zemtsov and others [27,[69][70][71][72][73][74]. A hydro-chemical study of the Ob's middle course, first order tributaries, temporary and persisting lakes, the large flood zone determined first-order factors controlling the dissolved organic carbon and related metal sources and sinks.…”

Section: Contemporary Researchmentioning

confidence: 99%

The relevance of the contemporary landscape-ecological and biogeochemical studies of the Ob floodplain

Inna¹,

Valeriy²,

Sergey³

et al. 2016

Tomsk State University Journal of Biology

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Hydrological Changes: Historical Analysis, Contemporary Status, and Future Projections

Cited by 54 publications

References 59 publications

ANN Model-Based Simulation of the Runoff Variation in Response to Climate Change on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, China

ANN Model-Based Simulation of the Runoff Variation in Response to Climate Change on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, China

Satellite gravimetry-based analysis of terrestrial water storage and its relationship with run-off from the Lena River in eastern Siberia

The relevance of the contemporary landscape-ecological and biogeochemical studies of the Ob floodplain

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