Hydro-climatic variability and forest fires in Mexico’s northern temperate forests

Návar, José; Lizárraga-Mendiola, Liliana

doi:10.1016/s0016-7169(13)71458-2

Cited by 11 publications

(11 citation statements)

References 29 publications

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“…However, what is very remarkable is that the last cycle is in agreement with droughts recurrence of 60 years reported for northern Mexico (Cerano et al, 2011). Although it is difficult to establish a direct relationship with global circulatory events, the fact that deserves special attention is that the cycles found here have showed to be compatible with ENSO (El Niño Southern Oscillation) and PDO (Pacific Decadal Oscillation) cycles (Hare & Mantua, 2000;Návar & Lizárraga-Mendiola 2013;Trenberth, 1997). One explanation for this results might be the sensitivity of the study species in relation to moisture variations influenced by regional events (Griesbauer & Scott, 2010;Návar, 2015).…”

Section: Spectral Analysis and Periodicitymentioning

confidence: 48%

“…El crecimiento forestal depende de la especie, edad, densidad de masa, calidad del suelo y clima (Skovsgaard & Vanclay, 2008), y el efecto combinado de estos factores se registra en el ancho de anillos de la especie (Esper, Benz, & Pederson, 2012;Matisons, Elferts, & Brūmelis, 2013). Los anillos de los árboles de especies sensibles al clima conservan información acerca de los patrones cíclicos de crecimiento y de las relaciones con el clima, proporcionando información útil para propósitos de modelación y predicción (Matisons et al, 2013;Návar & Lizárraga-Mendiola, 2013).…”

Section: Introductionunclassified

“…Franco), debido a su sensibilidad para captar señales de eventos cíclicos del clima (Cerano, Villanueva, Valdéz, Méndez, & Constante, 2011;González-Elizondo et al, 2005;Griesbauer & Scott, 2010;Gugger, González-Rodríguez, Rodríguez-Correa, Sugita, & Cavender-Bares, 2011), pero la confiabilidad de esa periodicidad no se ha estudiado en modelos de predicción. El análisis de serie de tiempo de la especie abeto Douglas ayudaría a confirmar los eventos extremos pasados en patrones de circulación atmosférica, escasez de recursos hídricos e impacto socioeconómico en la población (Cerano et al, 2011;Návar & Lizárraga-Mendiola, 2013). Recientemente, el uso del análisis de series de tiempo, combinado con isótopos de madera, y la dendrocronología han demostrado ser útiles para describir la relación de la fisiología de los árboles y la variabilidad del clima de acuerdo con el aumento de CO 2 atmosférico (Monserud & Marshall, 2001;Roden, Johnstone, & Dawson, 2011;Swetnam & Lynch, 1993).…”

Section: Introductionunclassified

“…Forest growth depends on tree species, age, stand density, soil quality and climate (Skovsgaard & Vanclay, 2008), and the combined effect of these factors is registered in the ring width of forest species (Esper, Benz, & Pederson, 2012;Matisons, Elferts, & Brūmelis, 2013). Tree-rings of climate sensitive species preserve information about cyclic patterns of tree growth and climate relationships, providing useful information for modeling and forecasting purposes (Matisons et al, 2013;Návar & Lizárraga-Mendiola, 2013).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Franco), due to its sensitivity in capturing signals of cyclic events of climate (Cerano, Villanueva, Valdéz, Méndez, & Constante, 2011;Griesbauer & Scott, 2010;González-Elizondo et al, 2005;Gugger, González-Rodríguez, Rodríguez-Correa, Sugita, & CavenderBares, 2011) but the reliability of that periodicity has not been tested in forecasting models. Time series analysis of tree species like Douglas-fir would also help to confirm extreme past events in atmospheric circulation patterns, water resources shortage, and its socioeconomic impact on the population (Cerano et al, 2011;Návar & Lizárraga-Mendiola, 2013). More recently, the use of time series analysis combined with wood isotopes and dendrochronology have showed to be useful to describe the relationship of tree physiology and climate variability according to increased atmospheric CO 2 (Monserud & Marshall, 2001;Roden, Johnstone, & Dawson, 2011;Swetnam & Lynch, 1993).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Basal area increment series of dominant trees of Pseudotsuga menziesii (Mirb.) Franco show periodicity according to global climate patterns

Castruita-Esparza¹,

Correa-Díaz²,

Gómez-Guerrero³

et al. 2016

rchscfa

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Basal area increment series of dominant trees oftrunk section allow the analysis of tree growth trajectories. In this study, we used direct measurements of basal area increment (BAI) to explain biological periodicity and forecast basal area growth of Douglas-fir growing in Western Mexico. To remove the age effect on tree growth we also ran the analysis in terms of cambial age. Results showed significant (P < 0.05) correlation between BAI and precipitation from January to July. We found periodicities in tree growth of 7, 21, 27 and 60 years.However, the 60-year period, was determinant to build an ARIMA model (0,1,1), to forecast BAI for the next decades. Tree growth projections suggest reduced BAI in mature dominant trees for the next decades. Decreased tree-growth is an unexpected result, as BAI in dominant trees remains constant up to the biological age. Our finding is concurrent with a general decrement in tree growth in other forests of the world due to water stress, which suggests that the future climatic variability may worsen health conditions of Douglas-fir forests in North Mexico. ResumenL as especies forestales como Pseudotsuga menziesii (Mirb.) Franco son sensibles al clima y muestran anillos de crecimiento claramente definidos. La selección cuidadosa de árboles dominantes con fuste circular permite el análisis de tendencias de crecimiento arbóreo. En este estudio se utilizaron mediciones directas del incremento del área basal (IAB) para explicar las periodicidades biológicas y elaborar predicciones del crecimiento en el abeto Douglas-fir que crece en el oeste de México. Para eliminar el efecto de la edad en el crecimiento de los árboles se hizo un análisis en términos de la edad del cámbium. Los resultados mostraron correlación significativa (P < 0.05) entre IAB y la precipitación de enero a julio. Además, se encontraron periodicidades de 7, 21, 27 y 60 años en el crecimiento de los árboles; el periodo de 60 años fue determinante para la construcción de un modelo ARIMA (0,1,1) para realizar predicciones del IAB en las próximas décadas. Las proyecciones del crecimiento proponen una reducción del IAB en árboles maduros dominantes en las próximas décadas. Dicha reducción es un resultado inesperado, debido a que el IAB en árboles dominantes permanece constante hasta una edad biológica de senescencia. Los resultados concuerdan con una tendencia general de reducción en el crecimiento en otros bosques del mundo debido a estrés hídrico, lo cual sugiere que la variabilidad climática futura puede empeorar la condición de salud del abeto Douglas-fir de los bosques del norte de México.Received: October 21, 2015 / Accepted: July 20, 2016. Palabras clave:Dendrocronología, anillos de crecimiento, productividad forestal, bosques templados, análisis de series de tiempo.

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Section: Spectral Analysis and Periodicitymentioning

confidence: 48%

Section: Introductionunclassified

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Basal area increment series of dominant trees of Pseudotsuga menziesii (Mirb.) Franco show periodicity according to global climate patterns

Castruita-Esparza¹,

Correa-Díaz²,

Gómez-Guerrero³

et al. 2016

rchscfa

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Hydro‐climatic variability and perturbations in Mexico's north‐western temperate forests

Návar

2014

Ecohydrology

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Climate variability and/or change control/s the local hydrologic cycle and consequently forest perturbations such as wildfires and bark beetle outbreaks. This case study addresses the following concerns: (a) the long-term trends in precipitation, potential and actual evapotranspiration, run-off, soil moisture content, number of wildfires, burned area, and bark beetle outbreaks and (b) the manner in which the fire occurrence, fire size, and beetle outbreaks are related to these hydrologic variables and multi-decadal climate indices in Mexico's north-western temperate forests. Using the daily measurements of precipitation and evaporation as well as the modelled interception loss and evapotranspiration, run-off and soil moisture content were computed using a mass balance budget model. Mann-Kendall, linear regression, and autoregressive integrated moving averaging techniques were used to evaluate the statistical significance of monotonic trends on the first momentum for the monthly and annual time series of hydro-climate , forest wildfire , and bark beetle infestation (1999)(2000)(2001)(2002)(2003)(2004)(2005)(2006)(2007)(2008)(2009)(2010)(2011)(2012) data. The statistical analysis showed time series to be stationary in the first momentum. Recent wildfires and bark beetle population eruptions are associated with low modelled dry season soil moisture over several years. Drought spells, frosts, and pulses of high area burned, and high number of wildfires preceded acute discrete bark beetle population eruptions.

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Changes in throughfall induced by low‐severity fire in a coniferous and broadleaved mixed forest

Su,

Qi,

et al. 2023

Hydrological Processes

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Forest fires, as a prominent main natural disturbance in forest ecosystems, have a critical influence on hydrological processes through the alteration of forest stand structure. Despite throughfall (TF) being the dominant component of rainfall partitioning in forest ecosystems, limited research has thoroughly investigated how forest fire affects the spatial and temporal patterns of TF. This study examined TF patterns in response to low‐severity fire in a coniferous and broadleaved mixed forest in Central China. Our results showed that TF exhibited an increasing trend regarding gross rainfall, and its variability decreased with increasing gross rainfall regardless of burning states. Low‐severity fire induced a considerable enhancement in TF rate, enhancing it from 71.1% to 77.9%, and increased the coefficient of variation from 19.4% to 23.9%. Additionally, TF temporal patterns of burned forest were found to be marginally less stable than unburned forest. We used a sample size of 16 and 25 for unburned and burned forests, respectively, to accurately and reliably acquire TF with an accepted error of 10% and a 95% confidence level. Our findings suggest that low‐severity fire can enhance TF yield and variability, decrease temporal stability. Moreover, we recommend increasing the sample size of burned forest to ensure the collection of representative TF. These findings contribute to a deeper understanding and improve the prediction of forest hydrological processes in response to fire and optimize the sampling scheme of TF.

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Hydro-climatic variability and forest fires in Mexico’s northern temperate forests

Cited by 11 publications

References 29 publications

Basal area increment series of dominant trees of Pseudotsuga menziesii (Mirb.) Franco show periodicity according to global climate patterns

Basal area increment series of dominant trees of Pseudotsuga menziesii (Mirb.) Franco show periodicity according to global climate patterns

Hydro‐climatic variability and perturbations in Mexico's north‐western temperate forests

Changes in throughfall induced by low‐severity fire in a coniferous and broadleaved mixed forest

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