13th International IEEE Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems 2010
DOI: 10.1109/itsc.2010.5625119
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Human mobility prediction based on individual and collective geographical preferences

Abstract: Abstract-Understanding and predicting human mobility is a crucial component of transportation planning and management. In this paper we propose a new model to predict the location of a person over time based on individual and collective behaviors. The model is based on the person's past trajectory and the geographical features of the area where the collectivity moves, both in terms of land use, points of interests and distance of trips. The effectiveness of the proposed prediction model is tested using a massi… Show more

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Cited by 87 publications
(42 citation statements)
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“…Most of recent research has focused on how predictable people's movements are and how long will people stay in the current place. For instance, one of these hot topics is called next location prediction, which benefits a wide range of communication systems [1] [2], from transportation planning and management to viruses spread prediction. At the same time some other research studies the global law of human mobility, for example, Simini et al [3] proposed a radiation model which predicts mobility patterns in good agreement with mobility and transport patterns observed in a wide range of phenomena.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Most of recent research has focused on how predictable people's movements are and how long will people stay in the current place. For instance, one of these hot topics is called next location prediction, which benefits a wide range of communication systems [1] [2], from transportation planning and management to viruses spread prediction. At the same time some other research studies the global law of human mobility, for example, Simini et al [3] proposed a radiation model which predicts mobility patterns in good agreement with mobility and transport patterns observed in a wide range of phenomena.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…To satisfy the requirements, we propose a path prediction algorithm based on Collective Behavior Pattern (CBP) [21]. CBP is a concept that a collective behavior influences personal behavior (e.g., Point of Interest).…”
Section: Collective Behavior Pattern and Weight Measurementmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…CBP is based on that collective behaviors influence personal behaviors, which enables predicting user locations and moves. A CBP-based method can predict paths using the information of people that have visited an area even if there is no history for a specific user [21].…”
Section: Collective Behavior Pattern-based Predictionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In this context, several studies have demonstrated a strong influence of the locations of points of interest (e.g., specific businesses) on human mobility [35]. These results have been further leveraged for pedestrian mobility predictions [9]. A similar approach to AntReckoning can be exploited to predict pedestrian movements, where other people, buildings, and shops are treated as points of interest that generate pheromone.…”
Section: Related Workmentioning
confidence: 99%