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Climate change mitigation strategies cannot be evaluated solely in terms of energy cost and greenhouse gas (GHG) mitigation potential. Maintaining GHGs at a "safe" level will require fundamental change in the way we approach energy production, and a number of environmental, economic, and societal factors will come into play. Water is an essential component of energy production, and water resource constraints will limit our options for meeting society's growing demand for energy while also reducing GHG emissions. This study evaluates these potential constraints from a global perspective by revisiting the climate wedges proposal of Pacala and Socolow (Science2004, 305 (5686), 968-972) and evaluating the potential water-use impacts of the wedges associated with energy production. GHG mitigation options that improve energy conversion or use efficiency can simultaneously reduce GHG emissions, lower energy costs, and reduce energy impacts on water resources. Other GHG mitigation options (e.g., carbon capture and sequestration, traditional nuclear, and biofuels from dedicated energy crops) increase water requirements for energy. Achieving energy sustainability requires deployment of alternatives that can reduce GHG emissions, water resource impacts, and energy costs.
Climate change mitigation strategies cannot be evaluated solely in terms of energy cost and greenhouse gas (GHG) mitigation potential. Maintaining GHGs at a "safe" level will require fundamental change in the way we approach energy production, and a number of environmental, economic, and societal factors will come into play. Water is an essential component of energy production, and water resource constraints will limit our options for meeting society's growing demand for energy while also reducing GHG emissions. This study evaluates these potential constraints from a global perspective by revisiting the climate wedges proposal of Pacala and Socolow (Science2004, 305 (5686), 968-972) and evaluating the potential water-use impacts of the wedges associated with energy production. GHG mitigation options that improve energy conversion or use efficiency can simultaneously reduce GHG emissions, lower energy costs, and reduce energy impacts on water resources. Other GHG mitigation options (e.g., carbon capture and sequestration, traditional nuclear, and biofuels from dedicated energy crops) increase water requirements for energy. Achieving energy sustainability requires deployment of alternatives that can reduce GHG emissions, water resource impacts, and energy costs.
This report characterizes fuel cycle options in four areas -resource utilization, radioactive waste, fuel cycle safety, and proliferation resistance and physical protection. Graphs and tables provide insights regarding which features of a fuel cycle option most impact performance for a given characteristic. For example, some characteristics are insensitive to reactor technology but very sensitive to whether and what is recycled. Sometimes it is variations within a class of options that matter. For still other characteristics, the pattern is that a feature impacts performance only under certain situations and is irrelevant in others.Resource utilization: The utilization of uranium ranges from <1% for all thermal reactor concepts, up to ~10% for fast reactors with no fuel recycle, and approaching 100% for sustained recycle with fast reactors. The patterns for utilization of thorium are less clear due to less study of option space.Radioactive waste: There are many possible ways to reduce radiotoxicity and/or the mass of waste streams having both high-heat and high long-term radiotoxicity. The combination of decay heat and radiotoxicity complicates waste disposal and there is no international precedent for disposal of waste that has both high decay heat and high long-term radiotoxicity. The value of a given improvement method can range from very little to orders of magnitude depending on which other improvement methods are also used in a fuel cycle. For example, low processing loss of transuranic material to waste has little value in a single-recycle strategy but can have orders of magnitude impact in sustained recycle.Fuel cycle safety: Safety is too important to ignore during concept selection and development. Historical experience suggests that some types of safety issues are easier to resolve in concept development, detailed design, and/or operation than others. "Easier" can mean lower design cost to add safety systems as a design goes from concept to details, fewer iterations and delays with regulators, easier operation, a more transparent safety case engendering higher trust, less chance for expensive changes during construction, less chance of expensive retrofitting during operation, etc. Co-location of facilities, e.g., separation and fuel fabrication, is one of the ways that the potential risk of future fuel cycles may be reduced. Although the radiological risk from transportation has been shown to be low, public concerns are high and any industrial transport involves common daily transportation risks.Proliferation resistance and physical protection: There are many perspectives in this area, but there is no tool and no single indicator that covers the entire area and all four stages from material acquisition, transportation, transformation of material, and weapon fabrication. Conflicting claims can be often be better understood if it is realized that each claim can be valid within its subset of the entire area. Technology Insights and Perspectivesiv September 30, 2010 SUMMARYThis report characterize...
SUMMARY During FY 2010, five studies were conducted of technology families' applicability to various fuel cycle strategies to fill in knowledge gaps in option space and to better understand trends and patterns. Here, a "technology family" is considered to be defined by a type of reactor and by selection of which actinides provide fuel. This report summarizes the higher-level findings; the detailed analyses and results are documented in five individual reports, as follows:x Advanced once through with uranium fuel in fast reactors (SFR) [Kim2010], Each study examined how the designated technology family could serve one or more designated fuel cycle missions, filling in gaps in overall option space. Each study contains one or more illustrative cases that show how the technology family could be used to meet a fuel cycle mission, as well as broader information on the technology family such as other potential fuel cycle missions for which insufficient information was available to include with an illustrative case. None of the illustrative cases can be considered as a reference, baseline, or nominal set of parameters for judging performance; the assessments were designed to assess areas of option space and were not meant to be optimized. There is no implication that any of the cases or technology families are necessarily the best way to meet a given fuel cycle mission.The studies provide five examples of 1-year fuel cycle assessments of technology families. Although each study was budgeted up to 0.5 FTE, the true cost of each (if done "from scratch") would be several times higher since each study leveraged other past and current efforts. There is reasonable coverage in the five studies of the performance areas of waste management and uranium utilization. The coverage of economics, safety, and proliferation resistance and physical protection in the five studies was spotty. Some studies did not have existing or past work to draw on in one or more of these areas. Resource constraints limited the amount of new analyses that could be performed. Little or no assessment was done of how soon any of the technologies could be deployed and therefore how quickly they could impact domestic or international fuel cycle performance. There were six common R&D needs, such as the value of advanced fuels, cladding, coating, and structure that would survive high neutron fluence.Each of the study reports could be updated in the future as new information becomes available on the illustrative cases studied this year or as new illustrative cases are analyzed. In this sense, they can be considered living documents.When a technology family is considered for use in a new fuel cycle mission, fuel cycle performance characteristics are dependent on both the design choices and the fuel cycle approach. For example, the use of the sodium-cooled fast reactor to provide recycle in either breeder or burner mode has been studied for decades, but the SFR could be considered for once-through fuel cycle with the physical reactor design and fuel management par...
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