2011
DOI: 10.1080/02604027.2011.615591
|View full text |Cite
|
Sign up to set email alerts
|

How to Make Decisions in An Uncertain World: Heuristics, Biases, and Risk Perception

Abstract: From the seventies onward a large quantity of theoretical and empirical studies have investigated the heuristic principles and cognitive strategies that individuals use to deal with risky and uncertain situations. This research has shown how the explicative and predictive shortcomings of normative risk analysis depend in many respects on undervaluing the continuous interaction between the individual and the environment. There are factors that, day by day, represent significant obstacles to decision making.

Help me understand this report

Search citation statements

Order By: Relevance

Paper Sections

Select...
1
1
1
1

Citation Types

1
8
0

Year Published

2015
2015
2020
2020

Publication Types

Select...
5
5

Relationship

0
10

Authors

Journals

citations
Cited by 25 publications
(9 citation statements)
references
References 17 publications
1
8
0
Order By: Relevance
“…Figure 2 demonstrates the five most popular topics among the corpus dataset where T16 pertains to "interventional therapy," T14 to "substance abuse," T28 to "research instrument," T6 to "antisocial personality disorder," and T25 to "psychiatric assessment." Along with themes above, the LDA algorithm with 30 topics also uncovered issues such as eating disorder, suicidal behavior, and emotional behavior (26,27). Finally, our results indicate that many studies focus on assessment, symptoms, and treatment of mental health along with factors including physical, mental, social, genetic, and behavioral aspects, all of which can be influenced by an individual's personality.…”
Section: Resultssupporting
confidence: 60%
“…Figure 2 demonstrates the five most popular topics among the corpus dataset where T16 pertains to "interventional therapy," T14 to "substance abuse," T28 to "research instrument," T6 to "antisocial personality disorder," and T25 to "psychiatric assessment." Along with themes above, the LDA algorithm with 30 topics also uncovered issues such as eating disorder, suicidal behavior, and emotional behavior (26,27). Finally, our results indicate that many studies focus on assessment, symptoms, and treatment of mental health along with factors including physical, mental, social, genetic, and behavioral aspects, all of which can be influenced by an individual's personality.…”
Section: Resultssupporting
confidence: 60%
“…One of the most common heuristics is availability : people tend to believe that an event is more likely to occur when they can imagine or recall it easily (for examples, see Slovic et al 1982; Folkes 1988; Betsch and Pohl 2002; Tversky and Kahneman 1973; Maldonato and Dell’Orco 2011). The availability heuristic provides important insights into our reaction to COVID‐19.…”
Section: Covid‐19: Governance Strategies For Managing Uncertain Risksmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…One of the most common heuristics is availability. Under the influence of the availability heuristic, people tend to believe that an event is more likely to occur if they are able to imagine or recall it easily (see for example Slovic, Fischhoff & Lichtenstein, 1979;Folkes, 1988;Betsch & Pohl, 2002;Tversky & Kahneman, 1973;Maldonato & Dell'Orco, 2011). For instance, fear of shark attacks increased dramatically after the release of the movie Jaws, despite the fact that there was no empirical evidence to suggest that shark attacks had suddenly become more probable (Slovic et al, 1979).…”
Section: The Psychology Of Riskmentioning
confidence: 99%