How sensitive are modeled contemporary subsea permafrost thaw and thickness of the methane clathrates stability zone in Eurasian Arctic to assumptions on Pleistocene glacial cycles?
Abstract:Abstract. Single-point simulations with a model for thermal state of subsea sediments driven by the forcing constructed from the ice core data show that the impact of initial conditions is lost after ∼ 100 kyr. The time scales of temperature propagation in sediments and respective permafrost response are ∼ 10 − 20 kyr which is longer than the present interglacial. The timings of shelf exposure during oceanic regressions and flooding during transgressions are important for representation of sediment thermal sta… Show more
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