2017
DOI: 10.4038/cmj.v62i4.8573
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How many doctors should we train for Sri Lanka? System dynamics modelling for training needs

Abstract: Introduction Over the years, Sri Lanka has achieved remarkable health gains for the money spent on health. Currently about 1450 doctors enter the health system annually. While some advocate opening up of new medical schools to address an apparent shortage of doctors in the country, others argue against it.

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Cited by 16 publications
(11 citation statements)
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“…The study was conducted as a descriptive cross-sectional study among middle and intermediate-grade doctors in Sri Lanka. Considering 20,000 practicing doctors' population were eligible for our study [4] and level of awareness on LAST in a regional study among doctors [5] being around 30% (outcome factor of 30% selected), at 7.5% confidence limit and 95% confidence interval with a design effect (2.0) for cluster sampling, a sample size of 285 was calculated. Following attrition for 20% for non-responders, the minimum sample size required was 342.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The study was conducted as a descriptive cross-sectional study among middle and intermediate-grade doctors in Sri Lanka. Considering 20,000 practicing doctors' population were eligible for our study [4] and level of awareness on LAST in a regional study among doctors [5] being around 30% (outcome factor of 30% selected), at 7.5% confidence limit and 95% confidence interval with a design effect (2.0) for cluster sampling, a sample size of 285 was calculated. Following attrition for 20% for non-responders, the minimum sample size required was 342.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The domestic production of medical graduates is also set to rise substantially by about 150-175 graduates a year from the now-defunct South Asian Institute of Technology and Medicine (SAITM) and General Sir John Kotelawala Defence University. The currently abolished SAITM had about 900 registered students (4). Further, the Government has already established two new medical faculties at Kuliyapitiya (Wayamba University of Sri Lanka) and at Ratnapura (Sabaragamuwa University of Sri Lanka).…”
Section: Scientific Cadre Projections For Health Workforcementioning
confidence: 99%
“…Therefore, it is estimated that another 150-200 from these three new state medical faculties will enter the health workforce, 6-7 years hence. There-fore, there is a possibility that there will be an over-supply of medical graduates in Sri Lanka by 2027 (4).…”
Section: Scientific Cadre Projections For Health Workforcementioning
confidence: 99%
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“…In addition, private sector provides care charging user fees. Doctors employed in the state health sector are allowed to carry out private practice after hospital duty hours (De Silva, 2017).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%