Abstract:We document how export quantities and prices evolve after entry to a market. Controlling for marginal cost, and taking account of selection on idiosyncratic demand, there are economically and statistically significant dynamics of quantities, but no dynamics of prices. To match these facts, we estimate a model where firms invest in customer base through non-price actions (e.g. marketing and advertising), and learn gradually about their idiosyncratic demand. The model matches quantity, price and exit moments. Pa… Show more
“…I will test the latter explanation below, and develop a theory that incorporates both mechanisms. My findings are consistent with Fitzgerald et al (2016), who show that exporters gradually increase their sales into a new destination country. My results highlight that the pattern also holds for individual relationships.…”
Economists have long suspected that firm-to-firm relationships might lower the responsiveness of prices to shocks due to the use of fixed-price contracts. Using transaction-level U.S. import data, I show that the pass-through of exchange rate shocks in fact rises as a relationship grows older. Based on novel stylized facts about a relationship's life cycle, I develop a model of relationship dynamics in which a buyer-seller pair accumulates relationship capital to lower production costs under limited commitment. The structurally estimated model generates countercyclical markups and countercyclical pass-through of shocks through variation in the economy's rate of relationship creation, which falls in recessions.
“…I will test the latter explanation below, and develop a theory that incorporates both mechanisms. My findings are consistent with Fitzgerald et al (2016), who show that exporters gradually increase their sales into a new destination country. My results highlight that the pattern also holds for individual relationships.…”
Economists have long suspected that firm-to-firm relationships might lower the responsiveness of prices to shocks due to the use of fixed-price contracts. Using transaction-level U.S. import data, I show that the pass-through of exchange rate shocks in fact rises as a relationship grows older. Based on novel stylized facts about a relationship's life cycle, I develop a model of relationship dynamics in which a buyer-seller pair accumulates relationship capital to lower production costs under limited commitment. The structurally estimated model generates countercyclical markups and countercyclical pass-through of shocks through variation in the economy's rate of relationship creation, which falls in recessions.
“…23 Con- 22 Dickstein and Morales (2016) find that large firms have more information relevant to predict rijt than small firms, and their evidence suggests that this informational advantage is due to larger investments in acquiring information. Multiple papers provide evidence consistent with within-firm learning (Albornoz et al, 2012;Berman et al, 2015;Arkolakis et al, 2015b;Timoshenko, 2015a,b;Bastos et al, 2016;Fitzgerald et al, 2016).…”
, and the World Bank for very helpful comments. We also thank Jenny Nuñez, Luis Cerpa, the Chilean Customs Authority, and the Instituto Nacional de Estadísticas for assistance with building the dataset. All errors are our own. The views expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research. Andres Zahler acknowledges the Nucleo Milenio Initiative NS100017 "Intelis Centre" for partial funding. NBER working papers are circulated for discussion and comment purposes. They have not been peer-reviewed or been subject to the review by the NBER Board of Directors that accompanies official NBER publications.
“…reflecting variation in quality and taste among consumers-are the principal reason why some firms succeed in the marketplace while others fail. In addition, as documented by Roberts et al (2012), Eaton et al (2015), and Fitzgerald et al (2016), customer markets considerations also importantly shape the pricing decision of exporting firms in both advanced and emerging market economies.…”
Section: Inflation Dynamics By Selected Firm Characteristicsmentioning
provided outstanding research assistance at various stages of this project. Gilchrist and Schoenle thank the National Science Foundation for financial support under grant No. 1357781. All errors and omissions are our own responsibility. The views expressed in this paper are solely the responsibility of the authors and should not be interpreted as reflecting the views of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, anyone else associated with the Federal Reserve System, or the National Bureau of Economic Research. NBER working papers are circulated for discussion and comment purposes. They have not been peer-reviewed or been subject to the review by the NBER Board of Directors that accompanies official NBER publications.
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