How Does Government Expenditure Impact Sustainable Development? Studying the Multidimensional Link between Budgets and Development Gaps

Guerrero, Omar; Ramos, Gonzalo Castañeda

doi:10.2139/ssrn.3800218

Cited by 2 publications

(8 citation statements)

References 41 publications

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“…Approximately 29% of the STR is directly transferred to states and municipalities, while the residual is managed by the federal government. The model is based on Guerrero and Castañeda (2021b), who study the feasibility of the SDGs worldwide. Guerrero and Castañeda (2020) provide a thorough motivation of a closely related model, and an application to the national case of Mexico.…”

Section: Fiscal Decentralization In Mexicomentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The calibration is performed for each state independently by using an algorithm developed by Guerrero and Castañeda (2021b). Broadly speaking, the algorithm seeks to find a vector α 1 , .…”

Section: Fiscal Decentralization In Mexicomentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Heuristic methods such as differential evolution, and even Bayesian approaches such as the Tree-structured Parzen estimator also fail. The method developed in Guerrero and Castañeda (2021b) employs a multi-output gradient descent algorithm. The calibration is simultaneous for all parameters, so the method is efficient and minimizes indicator-specific errors; and Guerrero and Castañeda (2021b) show that it yields high fitness scores.…”

Section: Quantification Of Development Goalsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…A budgetary frontier is a theoretical concept, introduced by Guerrero and Castañeda (2021b), that captures the potential of governments to generate significant progress in their indicators through the sheer growth of their budgets, i.e. without reforming long-term structural factors.…”

Section: Some Complexities Underpinning the Outcomes Of Decentralizationmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Here, we provide a brief description of the procedure of normalization and imputation from Guerrero and Castañeda (2021b), as well as a brief discussion of the benefits of this procedure.…”

Section: A3 Normalization and Imputationmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Subnational Sustainable Development: The Role of Vertical Intergovernmental Transfers in Reaching Multidimensional Goals

Guerrero

Ramos

Trujillo³

et al. 2021

SSRN Journal

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This is a PDF file of an article that has undergone enhancements after acceptance, such as the addition of a cover page and metadata, and formatting for readability, but it is not yet the definitive version of record. This version will undergo additional copyediting, typesetting and review before it is published in its final form, but we are providing this version to give early visibility of the article. Please note that, during the production process, errors may be discovered which could affect the content, and all legal disclaimers that apply to the journal pertain.

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Section: Fiscal Decentralization In Mexicomentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Fiscal Decentralization In Mexicomentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Quantification Of Development Goalsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Some Complexities Underpinning the Outcomes Of Decentralizationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: A3 Normalization and Imputationmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 3 more Smart Citations

Subnational Sustainable Development: The Role of Vertical Intergovernmental Transfers in Reaching Multidimensional Goals

Guerrero

Ramos

Trujillo³

et al. 2021

SSRN Journal

Self Cite

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Does expenditure in public governance guarantee less corruption? Non-linearities and complementarities of the rule of law

Guerrero

Castañeda

2021

Econ Gov

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Corruption is an endemic societal problem with profound implications in the development of nations. In combating this issue, cross-national evidence supporting the effectiveness of the rule of law seems at odds with poorly realized outcomes from reforms inspired in the academic literature. This paper provides an explanation for such contradiction. By building a computational approach, we develop three methodological novelties into the empirical study of corruption: (1) modeling government expenditure as a more adequate intervention variable than traditional indicators, (2) generating large within-country variation by means of bottom-up simulations (instead of cross-national data pooling), and (2) accounting for all possible interactions between covariates through a spillover network. Our estimates suggest that, the least developed a country is, the more difficult it is to find the right combination of policies that lead to reductions in corruption. We characterize this difficulty through a rugged landscape that governments navigate when changing the total budget size and the relative expenditure towards the rule of law. Importantly our method helps identifying the—country-specific—policy issues that complement the rule of law in the fight against corruption.

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How Does Government Expenditure Impact Sustainable Development? Studying the Multidimensional Link between Budgets and Development Gaps

Cited by 2 publications

References 41 publications

Subnational Sustainable Development: The Role of Vertical Intergovernmental Transfers in Reaching Multidimensional Goals

Subnational Sustainable Development: The Role of Vertical Intergovernmental Transfers in Reaching Multidimensional Goals

Does expenditure in public governance guarantee less corruption? Non-linearities and complementarities of the rule of law

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