Household migration in disaster impact analysis: incorporating behavioural responses to risk

Husby, Trond; Koks, Elco

doi:10.1007/s11069-017-2763-0

Cited by 12 publications

(6 citation statements)

References 130 publications

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“…It can also help families absorb the shock of disasters (Gain et al, 2019). In geologically fragile areas, remittances help build household resilience, especially when adaptation programs require large cash investments (Bian et al, 2022; Husby & Koks, 2017). This phenomenon is not inconsistent with the results of this paper.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Does labor out‐migration affect the sustainability of disaster mitigation? Insight from the social–ecological system perspective

et al. 2023

Sustainable Development

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Much is known about disaster mitigation (DM) actions, but little is known about the impact of migration as an exogenous shock. Rural farmers in mountainous areas are under the pressure of poverty, and also face the threat of geo‐hazards. Therefore, a more complex relationship exists between rural farmers' willingness to out‐migration for work and their DM behavior. To gain insight into the relationship between the two, we constructed the social–ecological system (SES) framework based on the survey data of 864 households in 53 villages in Chongqing, and verified our findings using the endogenous switching regression model and the mediation effect model. The results show that labor out‐migration has a negative correlation with the DM behavior of peasant households. When the total effect is further categorized into the direct effect and mediation effect; the negative total effect of labor out‐migration on the DM of farmers changes from a significant to an insignificant negative direct effect. It can be seen that labor out‐migration is not the direct cause of low motivation for DM, but the loss of leadership caused by labor out‐migration, the dilution of farmers' sense of place, and the decline of farmers' risk perception are the causes that ultimately lead to the decline of farmers' action ability for DM. This study confirms that the SES framework is suitable for empirical research on how labor out‐migration affects the ability of local villages to ensure DM action. These findings add new theoretical insights to the literature on DM.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Does labor out‐migration affect the sustainability of disaster mitigation? Insight from the social–ecological system perspective

et al. 2023

Sustainable Development

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“…While previous studies have integrated economic approaches to estimate physical damage, more work is required on the interactions of economic agents with respect to spatial mobility of factor inputs and commodities using a spatial network. In particular, as discussed in Husby and Koks (2017), the integration of micro‐spatial analysis at the city level with traditional macro‐spatial or aggregated regional models might be suitable for economic analysis of disasters. It is essential to understand the spatial diffusion patterns of the adverse effects from disasters across spatial units.…”

Section: Literature Reviewsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Analyzing indirect economic impacts of wildfire damages on regional economies

Kim

Kwon

2023

Risk Analysis

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This article estimates the economic impacts of wildfire damage on Korea's regional economies, developing an integrated disaster‐economic system for Korea. The system is composed of four modules: an interregional computable general equilibrium (ICGE) model for the eastern mountain area (EMA) and the rest of Korea, a Bayesian wildfire model, a transportation demand model, and a tourist expenditure model. The model has a hierarchical structure, with the ICGE model serving as a core module to link to three other modules. In the impact analysis of a wildfire, three external shocks are injected into the ICGE model: (1) the wildfire damaged area derived from the Bayesian wildfire model, (2) changes in travel times among cities and counties derived from the transportation demand model, and (3) variations in visitors’ expenditures derived from the tourist expenditure model. The simulation shows that the gross regional product (GRP) of the EMA would decrease by 0.25% to 0.55% without climate change and by 0.51%–1.23% with climate change. This article contributes to the development of quantitative linkages between macro and micro spatial models in a bottom‐up system for the impact analysis of disasters, integrating a regional economic model with a place‐based disaster model and the demands of tourism and transportation.

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“…Some neighbourhoods are always assessed as extreme risk; Little Cape Bay ( 60), Rockland (55). Furthermore, those neighbourhoods that were evaluated as extreme in all four ADRA assessments are: Maho ( 3), Simpson Bay Village ( 6), Cay Hill ( 24), Little Bay Village ( 57), Mary's Estate ( 22), St Peters (17), Reward ( 15), Madame's Estate (32), and Ocean Terrace (45). Particular attention should be put into these neighbourhoods towards DRR action plans or contingency plans for post-disaster relief.…”

Section: Adra Computationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Adaptive Disaster Risk Assessment Combining Multi-Hazards With Socioeconomic Vulnerability and Dynamic Exposure

Peña¹

2021

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xi evolueren. Onze methodiek is een holistische beoordeling van risico, ADRA, en beoordeelt rampenrisico met een adaptieve aanpak, in welke de blootstellingscomponenten expliciet gekwantificeerd en in kaart gebracht is. ADRA is een mensgericht aanpak en kan gebruikt worden om te kwantificeren welke middelen meer effect hebben op risicoverlaging en tonen waar deze middelen een significantere impact zullen hebben. Daarnaast biedt dit proefschrift praktische aanbevelingen voor ramp-risico managers en beleidsmakers in Sint-Maarten om het risico van natuurrampen op het eiland te verlagen.

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Household migration in disaster impact analysis: incorporating behavioural responses to risk

Cited by 12 publications

References 130 publications

Does labor out‐migration affect the sustainability of disaster mitigation? Insight from the social–ecological system perspective

Does labor out‐migration affect the sustainability of disaster mitigation? Insight from the social–ecological system perspective

Analyzing indirect economic impacts of wildfire damages on regional economies

Adaptive Disaster Risk Assessment Combining Multi-Hazards With Socioeconomic Vulnerability and Dynamic Exposure

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