Homes have more influence on the way that people live and behave in society than anything else they spend their money on. A house usually represents an individual's largest ever single investment, and is expected to last for decades, if not indefinitely. In order to make the most appropriate investment today, however, people need to know how they will be living and working in the future, both individually and as a society. A Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) report The Future of UK Housebuilding, published in December 2010, investigates and debates this issue. This briefing discusses the implications of the report for municipal engineers and others. In particular, the issues of sustainability, zero carbon dioxide, offsite technologies, technology changes and community impact are discussed.
Homes for people: the futureFuture housing requirements are qualitative and reflect changing aspirations, values and tastes. A critical uncertainty of the future is whether the UK's population -possibly in the future comprising a more diverse mix of cultures and backgrounds -will continue to follow this same pattern of attitude to housing, or whether society's attitudes will change, leading buyers, occupiers and hence suppliers to make different choices. Future patterns of development will be driven by demographic, economic, socio-cultural, political, technological and environmental factors. According to the CLG Live Table 401, the number of households in the UK has been projected to gradually increase, from the current 27 million to 33 million by 2031 (CLG, 2010). The population is projected to continue rising and the average household size is decreasing. The Live Table 402 shows that one-person households accounted for 19% of overall households in 1971, but that share increased to 33% by 2010 (CLG, 2010). The vast majority of future housing stock in the next few decades is already in place now. The form and make-up of individual households will continue to change, modes of living, working and leisure time will continue to interweave, and consequently future housing will need to be more flexible and adaptable than it is today. Houses currently account for 82% of dwelling stock in England, while the split between houses and flats in new-build in recent years has presented a trend towards equilibrium, reaching 50/50 in 2008/2009 as indicated in the Live Table 254 ( CLG, 2010). Construction techniques and regulations (both local planning and national building regulations) will need to acknowledge and enable this increasing flexibility, while the suitability (and adaptability) of the existing housing stock will become an increasingly important factor.Many of these issues are discussed in a report recently published by the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) (Goodier and Pan, 2010). This report discusses a number of UK housebuilding scenarios for the next 10-20 years, in order to provoke deliberation and encourage more strategic thinking within the industry and among policy makers and other stakeholders....