“…In Brazil, most of these scenario modeling exercises have targeted the Amazon, highlighting potential impacts of maintaining historical rates of deforestation on biodiversity (e.g., Laurance et al, 2001, Soares-Filho et al, 2006, and estimating the impacts of implementing policies to prevent deforestation (Rosa et al, 2013, Bradley et al, 2017. In general, the use of scenario modeling is more common for forested areas than for non-forest biomes, such as periodically flooded savanna, that face significant conversion (Zedler & Kercher, 2005;Reis et al, 2017;Hartig & Bennion, 2017). In addition, to our knowledge, vegetation loss at the property-level has yet to be considered for any tropical wetland.…”