Abstract-Few prospective studies have examined associations between major cardiovascular risk factors and occurrence of abdominal aortic aneurysm; findings from cross-sectional studies are inconsistent. This long-term population-based study assessed relationships of major risk factors in middle-age to clinical nonfatal plus fatal abdominal aortic aneurysm in older-age in the Chicago Heart Association Detection Project in Industry cohort-10 574 men and 8700 women baseline ages 40 to 64 years screened for risk factors in 1967-1973 Key Words: abdominal aortic aneurysm Ⅲ risk factors Ⅲ prospective studies Ⅲ blood pressure Ⅲ cholesterol Ⅲ smoking C linical aortic aneurysm is an important cardiovascular disease in older people. Preclinical aneurysm development is insidious; co-morbidity complicates treatment of aneurysm whether it is discovered incidentally, by deliberate screening, or following an acute rupture. 1 Therefore prevention of this condition, via risk factor identification and treatment, is a pertinent clinical issue for older population strata. Much of the understanding of possibly modifiable risk for this disease of later life is derived from cross-sectional screening surveys and clinical series. [2][3][4][5][6][7][8][9][10][11] These studies have typically shown associations of such cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors as male gender, older age, and smoking with prevalent abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) and aneurysm progression. [2][3][4][5][6][7][8][9][10][11] Findings have been inconsistent, however, for hypertension, 6,9,12 serum cholesterol, 3,6,8,10 diabetes, 3,4,9 and such other possible risk factors as body habitus 3,9,13 and race. 3,4 There are relatively few prospective population studies on relationships of CVD risk factors to AAA, and these have been limited by paucity of risk factor data, short duration of follow-up, small number of cases leading to inclusion of all types of aortic aneurysms regardless of site. 14 -19 This report is from a long-term large population-based study on relationships of major modifiable CVD risk factors, measured in middle-aged employed persons, to CVD incidence and mortality in later life. It assesses prospectively relationships of risk factors to clinically identified nonfatal plus fatal AAA.
Methods
Study PopulationThe Chicago Heart Association (CHA) cohort consists of nearly 40 000 employed men and women screened for major cardiovascular risk factors from late 1967 to early 1973 at 84 work sites. Potential risk factors were determined by self-administered questionnaire for age, ethnicity, education, cigarette smoking, history of coronary heart disease (CHD), diagnosed diabetes, and high blood pressure. Standardized procedures were used to obtain height, weight, a single supine blood pressure, and a resting ECG. Major and minor ECG abnormalities were coded by Pooling Project criteria. 20 Blood was drawn to determine serum cholesterol and plasma glucose, measured 1 hour after a nonfasting 50-g oral glucose load. Participant recruitment and examination pr...