2019
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2019.06.002
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Heterogeneous component multiplicative error models for forecasting trading volumes

Abstract: We propose a novel approach to modelling and forecasting high frequency trading volumes. The new model extends the Component Multiplicative Error Model of Brownlees et al. (2011) by introducing a more flexible specification of the long-run component. This uses an additive cascade of MIDAS polynomial filters, moving at different frequencies, in order to reproduce the changing long-run level and the persistent autocorrelation structure of high frequency trading volumes. After investigating its statistical proper… Show more

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Cited by 3 publications
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“…Multiplicative Decomposition Forecasting is used to identify demand with seasonal types (Naimoli & Storti, 2019). This forecasting method uses a seasonal index based on the seasonal Period to identify future demand levels.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Multiplicative Decomposition Forecasting is used to identify demand with seasonal types (Naimoli & Storti, 2019). This forecasting method uses a seasonal index based on the seasonal Period to identify future demand levels.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%