Heat wave changes in the eastern Mediterranean since 1960

Kuglitsch, Franz G.; Toreti, Andrea; Xoplaki, Elena; Della-Marta, Paul M.; Zerefos, C. S.; Türkeş, Murat; Luterbacher, Jürg

doi:10.1029/2009gl041841

Cited by 297 publications

(231 citation statements)

References 33 publications

(41 reference statements)

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“…Observations for Eurasia and central Europe show more temperature extremes, less summer precipitation, more river floods in winter and higher water temperature [1,67,68]. The European Mediterranean region has become warmer with a significant increase in the frequency, intensity and duration of heatwaves [69,70] in parallel with a decrease in total precipitation. In this area, mutual enhancement ( positive feedback) has been identified between droughts and heat waves [70].…”

Section: Europe and Eurasia (A) Main Climatic Change Observationsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate change impacts on West Nile virus transmission in a global context

Paz

2015

Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B

206

140

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West Nile virus (WNV), the most widely distributed virus of the encephalitic flaviviruses, is a vector-borne pathogen of global importance. The transmission cycle exists in rural and urban areas where the virus infects birds, humans, horses and other mammals. Multiple factors impact the transmission and distribution of WNV, related to the dynamics and interactions between pathogen, vector, vertebrate hosts and environment. Hence, among other drivers, weather conditions have direct and indirect influences on vector competence (the ability to acquire, maintain and transmit the virus), on the vector population dynamic and on the virus replication rate within the mosquito, which are mostly weather dependent. The importance of climatic factors (temperature, precipitation, relative humidity and winds) as drivers in WNV epidemiology is increasing under conditions of climate change. Indeed, recent changes in climatic conditions, particularly increased ambient temperature and fluctuations in rainfall amounts, contributed to the maintenance (endemization process) of WNV in various locations in southern Europe, western Asia, the eastern Mediterranean, the Canadian Prairies, parts of the USA and Australia. As predictions show that the current trends are expected to continue, for better preparedness, any assessment of future transmission of WNV should take into consideration the impacts of climate change.

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Section: Europe and Eurasia (A) Main Climatic Change Observationsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate change impacts on West Nile virus transmission in a global context

Paz

2015

Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B

206

140

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“…Since temperature records show an increase in the global mean temperature between 0.4 and 0.8 • C in the last 100 yr (IPCC, 2007), studies of extreme temperature events have raised the interest of the scientific community. Many authors have made an effort to examine extreme temperature trends in the Mediterranean region (Klein Tank and Können, 2003;Kostopoulou and Jones, 2005;Della-Marta et al, 2007;Kuglitsch et al, 2010;Efthymiadis et al, 2011). Most of their results suggest an increased frequency and duration of warm events.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Recent trends in daily temperature extremes over southern Montenegro (1951–2010)

Burić

Luković

Ducic

et al. 2014

Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci.

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Abstract. Montenegro so far has been poorly investigated in terms of climate extremes. The aim of this paper was to analyse the extreme ETCCDI (Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices) temperature indices in the Mediterranean region of Montenegro for the period of 1951-2010. Four stations in the coastal area of Montenegro have been analysed: Herceg Novi, Ulcinj, Budva and Bar. Two periods (before 1980 and after 1980) were separately investigated in this study due to a well-known climate shift that occurred in the late 1970s. Seven indices of temperature extremes have been chosen. The trend was analysed using a MannKendall non-parametric test, while the slope was estimated using Sen's slope estimator. A negative trend has been calculated for cold nights and cold days at almost all stations. The most significant positive trends were obtained for warm conditions. The two separately investigated periods have shown contrasting temperature trends.

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“…Moreover, the changes are not always steady or monotonic. Thus, other studies have focused on particular subregions of the Mediterranean such as Spain (Brunet et al, 2007;Rodríguez-Puebla et al, 2010), Italy (Baldi et al, 2006;Bartolini et al, 2008;Toreti and Desiato, 2008), Eastern Mediterranean (Founda et al, 2004;Kostopoulou and Jones, 2005;Kuglitsch et al, 2010), and the Levant and northern parts of Egypt and Libya (Domroes and El-Tantawi, 2005;Zhang et al, 2005;Sensoy et al, 2007;El Kenawy et al, 2009).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Trends in Mediterranean gridded temperature extremes and large-scale circulation influences

Efthymiadis

Goodess

Jones

2011

Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci.

109

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Abstract. Two recently-available daily gridded datasets are used to investigate trends in Mediterranean temperature extremes since the mid-20th century. The underlying trends are found to be generally consistent with global trends of temperature and their extremes: cold extremes decrease and warm/hot extremes increase. This consistency is better manifested in the western part of the Mediterranean where changes are most pronounced since the mid-1970s. In the eastern part, a cooling is observed, with a near reversal in the last two decades. This inter-basin discrepancy is clearer in winter, while in summer changes are more uniform and the west-east difference is restricted to the rate of increase of warm/hot extremes, which is higher in central and eastern parts of the Mediterranean over recent decades. Linear regression and correlation analysis reveals some influence of major large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns on the occurrence of these extremes -both in terms of trend and interannual variability. These relationships are not, however, able to account for the most striking features of the observations -in particular the intensification of the increasing trend in warm/hot extremes, which is most evident over the last 15-20 yr in the Central and Eastern Mediterranean.

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Heat wave changes in the eastern Mediterranean since 1960

Abstract: [1] A new data set of high-quality homogenized daily maximum and minimum summer air temperature series from 246 stations in the eastern Mediterranean region (including

Cited by 297 publications

References 33 publications

Climate change impacts on West Nile virus transmission in a global context

Climate change impacts on West Nile virus transmission in a global context

Recent trends in daily temperature extremes over southern Montenegro (1951–2010)

Trends in Mediterranean gridded temperature extremes and large-scale circulation influences

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