Health and Climate – Needs

Connor, Stephen J.; Omumbo, Judith A.; Green, C.; DaSilva, Juliana; Mantilla, Gilma; Delacollette, Charles; Hales, Simon; Rogers, D.; Thomson, Madeleine C.

doi:10.1016/j.proenv.2010.09.004

Cited by 21 publications

(17 citation statements)

References 17 publications

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“…The Global Framework for Climate Services, the key outcome of the World Climate Conference III, in September 2009 [46] along with several African initiatives including the Climate for Development in Africa (ClimDev-Africa) Programme [47,48] are seeking to address this call for readily accessible meteorological data to support development initiatives. Services should be tailored to appropriate demand and the health community should therefore make their needs heard [49]. …”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Raised temperatures over the Kericho tea estates: revisiting the climate in the East African highlands malaria debate

Omumbo¹,

Lyon²,

Waweru

et al. 2011

Malar J

112

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BackgroundWhether or not observed increases in malaria incidence in the Kenyan Highlands during the last thirty years are associated with co-varying changes in local temperature, possibly connected to global changes in climate, has been debated for over a decade. Studies, using differing data sets and methodologies, produced conflicting results regarding the occurrence of temperature trends and their likelihood of being responsible, at least in part, for the increases in malaria incidence in the highlands of western Kenya. A time series of quality controlled daily temperature and rainfall data from Kericho, in the Kenyan Highlands, may help resolve the controversy. If significant temperature trends over the last three decades have occurred then climate should be included (along with other factors such as land use change and drug resistance) as a potential driver of the observed increases in malaria in the region.MethodsOver 30 years (1 January 1979 to 31 December 2009) of quality controlled daily observations ( > 97% complete) of maximum, minimum and mean temperature were used in the analysis of trends at Kericho meteorological station, sited in a tea growing area of Kenya's western highlands. Inhomogeneities in all the time series were identified and corrected. Linear trends were identified via a least-squares regression analysis with statistical significance assessed using a two-tailed t-test. These 'gold standard' meteorological observations were compared with spatially interpolated temperature datasets that have been developed for regional or global applications. The relationship of local climate processes with larger climate variations, including tropical sea surface temperatures (SST), and El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) was also assessed.ResultsAn upward trend of ≈0.2°C/decade was observed in all three temperature variables (P < 0.01). Mean temperature variations in Kericho were associated with large-scale climate variations including tropical SST (r = 0.50; p < 0.01). Local rainfall was found to have inverse effects on minimum and maximum temperature. Three versions of a spatially interpolated temperature data set showed markedly different trends when compared with each other and with the Kericho station observations.ConclusionThis study presents evidence of a warming trend in observed maximum, minimum and mean temperatures at Kericho during the period 1979 to 2009 using gold standard meteorological observations. Although local factors may be contributing to these trends, the findings are consistent with variability and trends that have occurred in correlated global climate processes. Climate should therefore not be dismissed as a potential driver of observed increases in malaria seen in the region during recent decades, however its relative importance compared to other factors needs further elaboration. Climate services, pertinent to the achievement of development targets such as the Millennium Development Goals and the analysis of infectious disease in the context of climate variability and change a...

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Raised temperatures over the Kericho tea estates: revisiting the climate in the East African highlands malaria debate

Omumbo¹,

Lyon²,

Waweru

et al. 2011

Malar J

112

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show abstract

“…heat cramps, heat syncope, heat exhaustion, heat stroke and possible death [25][26][27]. These studies all identified temperature extremes as a factor that can affect physiological functioning, mood behavior and workplace productivity, especially amongst outdoor workers.…”

Section: Research Gapsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Heat Waves Research and Impacts on Human Health: The Need for Studies in Nigeria: A Review

Agan¹

2017

J Earth Sci Clim Change

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“…Proposed reasons for the apparent non-existent demand for weather and climate services by the health community include limited capacity to effectively use and understand weather and climate services, the apparent inability to manage and monitor the risks of climate variability and change on public health, lack of access to the relevant datasets, and an institutional disconnect between the public health community and other sectors which consider public health as a downstream priority such as food security and water resource management (Connor et al, 2010;Clim-Health Africa, 2013;Jancloes et al 2014;WMO 2014h). For example, the livelihoods and nutritional security of African citizens, particularly women and children, are heavily dependent on rain-fed agriculture and seasonal water resources, and are therefore highly vulnerable to potential changes in these systems and associated impacts on their health and wellbeing (Clim-Health .…”

Section: Healthmentioning

confidence: 99%

Scoping, options analysis and design of a ‘Climate Information and Services Programme’ for Africa (CIASA): Literature review

Graham

Visman

Wade

et al. 2015

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Health and Climate – Needs

Cited by 21 publications

References 17 publications

Raised temperatures over the Kericho tea estates: revisiting the climate in the East African highlands malaria debate

Raised temperatures over the Kericho tea estates: revisiting the climate in the East African highlands malaria debate

Heat Waves Research and Impacts on Human Health: The Need for Studies in Nigeria: A Review

Scoping, options analysis and design of a ‘Climate Information and Services Programme’ for Africa (CIASA): Literature review

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